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NFLPlayer propRush + rec yards
Rico Dowdle over 40.5 rush + rec yards
Won12 of 15last 15 games · 80%
Best price-113DraftKings
Price needs53.1%wins to break even
Every game14 of 21this season and last
Trend score-10.8Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 53% to break even | 14%–73% | 13 points shortwon 40%, needs 53% | 31.8rushing and receiving yards |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 53% to break even | 44%–87% | 17 points betterwon 70%, needs 53% | 47.2rushing and receiving yards |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 53% to break even | 59%–92% | 27 points betterwon 80%, needs 53% | 61.7rushing and receiving yards |
| This season | 2 of 367%needs 53% to break even | 25%–92% | 14 points betterwon 67%, needs 53% | 38rushing and receiving yards |
| Last season | 12 of 1867%needs 53% to break even | 47%–82% | 14 points betterwon 67%, needs 53% | 77.1rushing and receiving yards |
| Every game | 14 of 2167%needs 53% to break even | 49%–81% | 14 points betterwon 67%, needs 53% | 71.5rushing and receiving yards |
Games like tonight
Tonight PIT plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against NO. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 7 of 11 on the road. Tonight: NO allows 147.3 rushing and receiving yards a game to running backs, the 2nd most of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 120.9): an easy matchup for this bet. How NO defends running backs
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Rico Dowdle over 40.5 rush + rec yards3 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Rush + rec yards in each game against over 40.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Rush + rec yards | Beat 40.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  TB | 49 | +8.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 |  NE | 44 | +3.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 |  ATL | 21 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 19 |  LAR | 15 | -25.5 | Lost |
| Wk 18 | TB | 30 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Wk 17 |  SEA | 63 | +22.5 | Won |
| Wk 16 | TB | 43 | +2.5 | Won |
| Wk 15 |  NO | 54 | +13.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 | LAR | 79 | +38.5 | Won |
| Wk 12 |  SF | 74 | +33.5 | Won |
| Wk 11 | ATL | 100 | +59.5 | Won |
| Wk 10 | NO | 63 | +22.5 | Won |
| Wk 9 |  GB | 141 | +100.5 | Won |
| Wk 8 |  BUF | 54 | +13.5 | Won |
| Wk 7 |  NYJ | 96 | +55.5 | Won |
| Wk 6 |  DAL | 239 | +198.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 |  MIA | 234 | +193.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | NE | 30 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | ATL | 38 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  ARI | 19 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 |  JAX | 16 | -24.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 40.5 rush + rec yardsRico Dowdle · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETListed questionable |  -113at DraftKings | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 53% to break even4 of 11 on the road | -31.2Not beating its price | ||
| Under 41.5 rush + rec yardsRico Dowdle · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETListed questionable |  -115at BetRivers | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 53% to break even4 of 11 on the road | -31.5Not beating its price | ||
| Under 42.5 rush + rec yardsRico Dowdle · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETListed questionable |  -115at BetMGM | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 53% to break even4 of 11 on the road | -31.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Rico Dowdle in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 11.5 rush attemptsRico Dowdle · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETListed questionable |  +650at Fanatics | 9 of 18· last season50%needs 13% to break even4 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | 1.8Slight | |
| Over 1.5 receptionsRico Dowdle · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETListed questionable | +106at DraftKings | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 49% to break even7 of 11 on the road | 0.2Slight | ||
| Over 6.5 rush attemptsRico Dowdle · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETListed questionable |  -139at BetOnline | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 58% to break even8 of 11 on the road | -1.9Not beating its price | ||
| Over 5.5 rush attemptsRico Dowdle · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETListed questionable | -200at BetOnline | 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 67% to break even10 of 11 on the road | -3.0Not beating its price | ||
| Over 4.5 receiving yardsRico Dowdle · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETListed questionable |  -188at FanDuel | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 65% to break even9 of 11 on the road | -3.2Not beating its price | ||
| Over 69.5 rushing yardsRico Dowdle · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETListed questionable |  +950at Caesars | 4 of 18· last season22%needs 10% to break even2 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | -4.9Not beating its price | |
| Over 2.5 receptionsRico Dowdle · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETListed questionable | +326at DraftKings | 7 of 18· last season39%needs 23% to break even3 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | -5.8Not beating its price | |
| Over 9.5 rush attemptsRico Dowdle · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETListed questionable | +285at BetRivers | 10 of 18· last season56%needs 26% to break even4 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | -7.0Not beating its price | |
| Over 49.5 rushing yardsRico Dowdle · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETListed questionable | +360at BetRivers | 8 of 18· last season44%needs 22% to break even2 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | -7.4Not beating its price | |
| Over 59.5 rushing yardsRico Dowdle · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETListed questionable | +579at DraftKings | 4 of 18· last season22%needs 15% to break even2 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | -9.1Not beating its price | |
| Over 39.5 rushing yardsRico Dowdle · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETListed questionable | +188at DraftKings | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 35% to break even5 of 11 on the road | -9.3Not beating its price | ||
| Over 14.5 receiving yardsRico Dowdle · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETListed questionable | +208at DraftKings | 7 of 18· last season39%needs 32% to break even5 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | -11.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.