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NFLPlayer propAnytime TD
Rico Dowdle scores a TD
Won6 of 18last season · 33%
Best price+280Kalshi
Price needs26.3%wins to break even
Every game6 of 21this season and last
Trend score-15.8Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 26% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 26% to break even | 0%–35% | 26 points shortwon 0%, needs 26% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1010%needs 26% to break even | 2%–35% | 16 points shortwon 10%, needs 26% |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1520%needs 26% to break even | 8%–41% | 6 points shortwon 20%, needs 26% |
| This season | 0 of 30%needs 26% to break even | 0%–47% | 26 points shortwon 0%, needs 26% |
| Last season | 6 of 1833%needs 26% to break even | 18%–53% | 7 points betterwon 33%, needs 26% |
| Every game | 6 of 2129%needs 26% to break even | 16%–46% | 2 points betterwon 29%, needs 26% |
Games like tonight
Tonight PIT plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against NO. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 2 of 11 on the road. Tonight: NO allows 2 touchdowns a game to running backs, the most of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 0.9): an easy matchup for this bet. How NO defends running backs
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Rico Dowdle scores a TD9 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Every Rico Dowdle game, newest first: whether Dowdle scored a touchdown.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| This season | |||
| Wk 6 |  TB | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  NE | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 1 |  ATL | No TD | Lost |
| Last season | |||
| Wk 19 |  LAR | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 18 | TB | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 17 |  SEA | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 16 | TB | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 15 |  NO | 1 TD | Won |
| Wk 13 | LAR | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 12 |  SF | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 11 | ATL | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 10 | NO | 1 TD | Won |
| Wk 9 |  GB | 2 TDs | Won |
| Wk 8 |  BUF | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 7 |  NYJ | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 6 |  DAL | 1 TD | Won |
| Wk 5 |  MIA | 1 TD | Won |
| Wk 4 | NE | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 3 | ATL | 1 TD | Won |
| Wk 2 |  ARI | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 1 |  JAX | No TD | Lost |
More on Rico Dowdle in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 11.5 rush attemptsRico Dowdle · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETListed questionable |  +650at Fanatics | 9 of 18· last season50%needs 13% to break even4 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | 1.8Slight | |
| Over 1.5 receptionsRico Dowdle · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETListed questionable |  +106at DraftKings | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 49% to break even7 of 11 on the road | 0.2Slight | ||
| Over 6.5 rush attemptsRico Dowdle · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETListed questionable |  -139at BetOnline | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 58% to break even8 of 11 on the road | -1.9Not beating its price | ||
| Over 5.5 rush attemptsRico Dowdle · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETListed questionable | -200at BetOnline | 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 67% to break even10 of 11 on the road | -3.0Not beating its price | ||
| Over 4.5 receiving yardsRico Dowdle · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETListed questionable |  -188at FanDuel | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 65% to break even9 of 11 on the road | -3.2Not beating its price | ||
| Over 69.5 rushing yardsRico Dowdle · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETListed questionable |  +950at Caesars | 4 of 18· last season22%needs 10% to break even2 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | -4.9Not beating its price | |
| Over 2.5 receptionsRico Dowdle · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETListed questionable | +326at DraftKings | 7 of 18· last season39%needs 23% to break even3 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | -5.8Not beating its price | |
| Over 9.5 rush attemptsRico Dowdle · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETListed questionable |  +285at BetRivers | 10 of 18· last season56%needs 26% to break even4 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | -7.0Not beating its price | |
| Over 49.5 rushing yardsRico Dowdle · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETListed questionable | +360at BetRivers | 8 of 18· last season44%needs 22% to break even2 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | -7.4Not beating its price | |
| Over 59.5 rushing yardsRico Dowdle · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETListed questionable | +579at DraftKings | 4 of 18· last season22%needs 15% to break even2 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | -9.1Not beating its price | |
| Over 39.5 rushing yardsRico Dowdle · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETListed questionable | +188at DraftKings | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 35% to break even5 of 11 on the road | -9.3Not beating its price | ||
| Over 40.5 rush + rec yardsRico Dowdle · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ETListed questionable | -113at DraftKings | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 53% to break even7 of 11 on the road | -10.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.