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NFLPlayer propRushing yards
Baker Mayfield over 24.5 rushing yards
Won6 of 10last 10 games · 60%
Best price+200FanDuel
Price needs33.3%wins to break even
Every game10 of 20this season and last
Trend score-3.5Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 33% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 33% to break even | 27%–86% | 27 points betterwon 60%, needs 33% | 22.4rushing yards |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 33% to break even | 35%–81% | 27 points betterwon 60%, needs 33% | 25rushing yards |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 33% to break even | 28%–67% | 13 points betterwon 47%, needs 33% | 20.2rushing yards |
| This season | 2 of 367%needs 33% to break even | 25%–92% | 33 points betterwon 67%, needs 33% | 21.7rushing yards |
| Last season | 8 of 1747%needs 33% to break even | 29%–66% | 14 points betterwon 47%, needs 33% | 22.5rushing yards |
| Every game | 10 of 2050%needs 33% to break even | 33%–67% | 17 points betterwon 50%, needs 33% | 22.4rushing yards |
Games like tonight
Tonight TB plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against CAR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 5 of 10 on the road. Tonight: CAR allows 29.2 rushing yards a game to quarterbacks, the 3rd most of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 17.3): an easy matchup for this bet. How CAR defends quarterbacks
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Baker Mayfield over 24.5 rushing yards3 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Rushing yards in each game against over 24.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Rushing yards | Beat 24.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 3 |  MIN | 6 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  CLE | 29 | +4.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 |  CIN | 30 | +5.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 |  CAR | 31 | +6.5 | Won |
| Wk 17 |  MIA | 16 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Wk 16 | CAR | 49 | +24.5 | Won |
| Wk 15 |  ATL | 1 | -23.5 | Lost |
| Wk 14 |  NO | 42 | +17.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 |  ARI | 27 | +2.5 | Won |
| Wk 12 |  LAR | 19 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Wk 11 |  BUF | 39 | +14.5 | Won |
| Wk 10 |  NE | 0 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Wk 8 | NO | 0 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Wk 7 |  DET | 0 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Wk 6 |  SF | 14 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 |  SEA | 15 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 |  PHI | 13 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 |  NYJ | 44 | +19.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 |  HOU | 33 | +8.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | ATL | 39 | +14.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 16.5 rushing yardsBaker Mayfield · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETListed questionable |  -111at DraftKings | 8 of 17· last season47%needs 53% to break even4 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -26.9Not beating its price | |
| Under 17.5 rushing yardsBaker Mayfield · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETListed questionable |  -115at BetRivers | 8 of 17· last season47%needs 53% to break even4 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -27.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Baker Mayfield in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 219.5 passing yardsBaker Mayfield · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | -114at BetRivers | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 53% to break even7 of 10 on the road | -6.2Not beating its price | ||
| Under 217.5 passing yardsBaker Mayfield · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETListed questionable |  -115at BetMGM | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 53% to break even7 of 10 on the road | -6.4Not beating its price | ||
| Scores a TDBaker Mayfield · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | +525at BetMGM | 1 of 3· this season33%needs 16% to break even2 of 10 on the road | Record is this season's | -9.6Not beating its price | |
| Over 0.5 interceptions thrownBaker Mayfield · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | -110at BetMGM | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 52% to break even5 of 10 on the road | -9.9Not beating its price | ||
| Under 1.5 passing TDsBaker Mayfield · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | -178at DraftKings | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 64% to break even6 of 10 on the road | -13.8Not beating its price | ||
| Under 237.5 pass + rush yardsBaker Mayfield · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | -113at DraftKings | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 53% to break even6 of 10 on the road | -14.0Not beating its price | ||
| Under 235.5 pass + rush yardsBaker Mayfield · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETListed questionable |  -114at FanDuel | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 53% to break even6 of 10 on the road | -14.1Not beating its price | ||
| Under 242.5 pass + rush yardsBaker Mayfield · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | -115at BetRivers | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 53% to break even6 of 10 on the road | -14.3Not beating its price | ||
| Under 216.5 passing yardsBaker Mayfield · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | -111at DraftKings | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 53% to break even7 of 10 on the road | -14.6Not beating its price | ||
| Under 20.5 completionsBaker Mayfield · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETListed questionable |  -111at BetOnline | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 53% to break even5 of 10 on the road | -15.8Not beating its price | ||
| Over 269.5 pass + rush yardsBaker Mayfield · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | +199at DraftKings | 7 of 17· last season41%needs 33% to break even2 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -18.3Not beating its price | |
| Under 33.5 pass attemptsBaker Mayfield · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | -112at DraftKings | 11 of 17· last season65%needs 53% to break even7 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -18.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.