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NFLPlayer propAnytime TD
Baker Mayfield scores a TD
Won1 of 3this season · 33%
Best price+525BetMGM
Price needs16.0%wins to break even
Every game2 of 20this season and last
Trend score-9.6Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 16% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 16% to break even | 5%–56% | 4 points betterwon 20%, needs 16% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1010%needs 16% to break even | 2%–35% | 6 points shortwon 10%, needs 16% |
| Last 15 games | 2 of 1513%needs 16% to break even | 5%–33% | 3 points shortwon 13%, needs 16% |
| This season | 1 of 333%needs 16% to break even | 8%–75% | 17 points betterwon 33%, needs 16% |
| Last season | 1 of 176%needs 16% to break even | 1%–23% | 10 points shortwon 6%, needs 16% |
| Every game | 2 of 2010%needs 16% to break even | 3%–26% | 6 points shortwon 10%, needs 16% |
Games like tonight
Tonight TB plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against CAR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 2 of 10 on the road.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Baker Mayfield scores a TD8 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Every Baker Mayfield game, newest first: whether Mayfield scored a touchdown.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| This season | |||
| Wk 3 |  MIN | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  CLE | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 1 |  CIN | 1 TD | Won |
| Last season | |||
| Wk 18 |  CAR | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 17 |  MIA | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 16 | CAR | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 15 |  ATL | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 14 |  NO | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 13 |  ARI | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 12 |  LAR | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 11 |  BUF | 1 TD | Won |
| Wk 10 |  NE | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 8 | NO | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 7 |  DET | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 6 |  SF | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 5 |  SEA | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 4 |  PHI | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 3 |  NYJ | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  HOU | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 1 | ATL | No TD | Lost |
More on Baker Mayfield in this game
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.