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NFLPlayer propPass attempts
Baker Mayfield under 32.5 pass attempts
Won10 of 17last season · 59%
Best price-110BetMGM
Price needs52.4%wins to break even
Every game11 of 20this season and last
Trend score-19.2Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 52% to break even | 14%–73% | 12 points shortwon 40%, needs 52% | 32.4pass attempts |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 52% to break even | 35%–81% | 8 points betterwon 60%, needs 52% | 29.9pass attempts |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 52% to break even | 39%–78% | 8 points betterwon 60%, needs 52% | 31.1pass attempts |
| This season | 1 of 333%needs 52% to break even | 8%–75% | 19 points shortwon 33%, needs 52% | 32pass attempts |
| Last season | 10 of 1759%needs 52% to break even | 39%–76% | 6 points betterwon 59%, needs 52% | 31.9pass attempts |
| Every game | 11 of 2055%needs 52% to break even | 37%–72% | 3 points betterwon 55%, needs 52% | 32pass attempts |
Games like tonight
Tonight TB plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against CAR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 6 of 10 on the road. Tonight: CAR allows 37.8 pass attempts a game to quarterbacks, the 4th most of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 33.7): a tough matchup for this bet. How CAR defends quarterbacks
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Every book's price
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Baker Mayfield under 32.5 pass attempts1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Pass attempts in each game against under 32.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Pass attempts | Beat 32.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 3 |  MIN | 34 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  CLE | 34 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 |  CIN | 28 | +4.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 |  CAR | 22 | +10.5 | Won |
| Wk 17 |  MIA | 44 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Wk 16 | CAR | 26 | +6.5 | Won |
| Wk 15 |  ATL | 34 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 14 |  NO | 30 | +2.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 |  ARI | 28 | +4.5 | Won |
| Wk 12 |  LAR | 19 | +13.5 | Won |
| Wk 11 |  BUF | 28 | +4.5 | Won |
| Wk 10 |  NE | 43 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Wk 8 | NO | 24 | +8.5 | Won |
| Wk 7 |  DET | 50 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Wk 6 |  SF | 23 | +9.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 |  SEA | 33 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 |  PHI | 40 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 |  NYJ | 29 | +3.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 |  HOU | 38 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | ATL | 32 | +0.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 31.5 pass attemptsBaker Mayfield · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETListed questionable |  -180at Fanatics | 8 of 17· last season47%needs 64% to break even5 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -31.6Not beating its price | |
| Over 32.5 pass attemptsBaker Mayfield · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETListed questionable |  -120at BetMGM | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 55% to break even4 of 10 on the road | -24.8Not beating its price | ||
| Over 33.5 pass attemptsBaker Mayfield · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETListed questionable |  -111at BetOnline | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 53% to break even3 of 10 on the road | -24.2Not beating its price | ||
| Over 34.5 pass attemptsBaker Mayfield · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | +120at BetMGM | 5 of 17· last season29%needs 45% to break even3 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -31.1Not beating its price | |
| Over 35.5 pass attemptsBaker Mayfield · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETListed questionable |  +139at DraftKings | 5 of 17· last season29%needs 42% to break even3 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -28.2Not beating its price | |
| Over 37.5 pass attemptsBaker Mayfield · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | +218at DraftKings | 5 of 17· last season29%needs 31% to break even3 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -19.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Baker Mayfield in this game
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.