This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 28% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 28% to break even | 0%–35% | 28 points shortwon 0%, needs 28% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1010%needs 28% to break even | 2%–35% | 18 points shortwon 10%, needs 28% |
| Last 15 games | 1 of 157%needs 28% to break even | 2%–25% | 21 points shortwon 7%, needs 28% |
| This season | 0 of 60%needs 28% to break even | 0%–31% | 28 points shortwon 0%, needs 28% |
| Last season | 1 of 157%needs 28% to break even | 2%–25% | 21 points shortwon 7%, needs 28% |
| Every game |
Tonight TB plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against CAR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 0 of 11 on the road. Tonight: CAR allows 0.8 touchdowns a game to tight ends, the 6th most of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 0.5): an easy matchup for this bet. How CAR defends tight ends
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every Cade Otton game, newest first: whether Otton scored a touchdown.
This player's other props in the game.
| 1%–19% |
| 23 points shortwon 5%, needs 28% |
| No TD |
| Lost |
| Wk 5 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 4 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 3 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 2 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 1 | No TD | Lost |
| Last season | |||
| Wk 18 | 1 TD | Won | |
| Wk 17 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 16 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 14 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 13 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 12 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 11 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 10 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 8 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 7 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 6 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 5 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 4 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 2 | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 1 | No TD | Lost |
| -114at FanDuel |
| 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 53% to break even9 of 11 on the road |
| -2.2Not beating its price |
| Under 42.5 receiving yardsCade Otton · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | -114at BetRivers | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 53% to break even9 of 11 on the road | -2.2Not beating its price |
| Under 39.5 receiving yardsCade Otton · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | -103at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 51% to break even8 of 11 on the road | -2.6Not beating its price |
| Under 29.5 receiving yardsCade Otton · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | +166at Kalshi | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 38% to break even7 of 11 on the road | -8.6Not beating its price |
| Under 4.5 receptionsCade Otton · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | -175at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 64% to break even10 of 11 on the road | -9.3Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 receptionsCade Otton · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | +130at Bovada | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 43% to break even6 of 11 on the road | -9.6Not beating its price |
| Under 49.5 receiving yardsCade Otton · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | -191at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 66% to break even9 of 11 on the road | -12.2Not beating its price |
| Over 49.5 receiving yardsCade Otton · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | +147at DraftKings | 5 of 15· last season33%needs 40% to break even2 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | -25.6Not beating its price |
| Over 60.5 receiving yardsCade Otton · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | +168at BetOnline | 4 of 15· last season27%needs 37% to break even2 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | -26.5Not beating its price |
| Over 4.5 receptionsCade Otton · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | +140at Kalshi | 4 of 15· last season27%needs 42% to break even1 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | -27.5Not beating its price |
| Over 50.5 receiving yardsCade Otton · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | +122at BetOnline | 5 of 15· last season33%needs 45% to break even2 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | -29.3Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 receptionsCade Otton · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | -154at Kalshi | 8 of 15· last season53%needs 61% to break even5 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | -31.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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