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NFLPlayer propReceiving yards
Cade Otton under 49.5 receiving yards
Won12 of 15last 15 games · 80%
Best price-191Kalshi
Price needs65.6%wins to break even
Every game15 of 21this season and last
Trend score-12.2Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 66% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 66% to break even | 44%–95% | 14 points betterwon 80%, needs 66% | 32receiving yards |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 66% to break even | 54%–93% | 14 points betterwon 80%, needs 66% | 34.7receiving yards |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 66% to break even | 59%–92% | 14 points betterwon 80%, needs 66% | 35.1receiving yards |
| This season | 5 of 683%needs 66% to break even | 50%–96% | 18 points betterwon 83%, needs 66% | 31receiving yards |
| Last season | 10 of 1567%needs 66% to break even | 46%–83% | 1 points betterwon 67%, needs 66% | 38.1receiving yards |
| Every game | 15 of 2171%needs 66% to break even | 54%–84% | 6 points betterwon 71%, needs 66% | 36.1receiving yards |
Games like tonight
Tonight TB plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against CAR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 9 of 11 on the road. Tonight: CAR allows 55.6 receiving yards a game to tight ends, the 13th most of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 54.2). How CAR defends tight ends
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Cade Otton under 49.5 receiving yards1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Receiving yards in each game against under 49.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 49.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  PIT | 4 | +45.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 |  DAL | 25 | +24.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 |  GB | 37 | +12.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 |  MIN | 56 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  CLE | 38 | +11.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 |  CIN | 26 | +23.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 |  CAR | 94 | -44.5 | Lost |
| Wk 17 |  MIA | 33 | +16.5 | Won |
| Wk 16 | CAR | 15 | +34.5 | Won |
| Wk 14 |  NO | 19 | +30.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 |  ARI | 9 | +40.5 | Won |
| Wk 12 |  LAR | 21 | +28.5 | Won |
| Wk 11 |  BUF | 28 | +21.5 | Won |
| Wk 10 |  NE | 82 | -32.5 | Lost |
| Wk 8 | NO | 40 | +9.5 | Won |
| Wk 7 |  DET | 65 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Wk 6 |  SF | 51 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 |  SEA | 81 | -31.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 |  PHI | 9 | +40.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 |  HOU | 25 | +24.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 |  ATL | 0 | +49.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 39.5 receiving yardsCade Otton · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) |  -112at Kalshi | 6 of 15· last season40%needs 53% to break even3 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | -33.9Not beating its price | |
| Over 40.5 receiving yardsCade Otton · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) |  -109at DraftKings | 5 of 15· last season33%needs 52% to break even2 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | -35.0Not beating its price | |
| Over 42.5 receiving yardsCade Otton · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) |  -117at BetRivers | 5 of 15· last season33%needs 54% to break even2 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | -36.4Not beating its price | |
| Over 49.5 receiving yardsCade Otton · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | +147at DraftKings | 5 of 15· last season33%needs 40% to break even2 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | -25.6Not beating its price | |
| Over 50.5 receiving yardsCade Otton · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) |  +122at BetOnline | 5 of 15· last season33%needs 45% to break even2 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | -29.3Not beating its price | |
| Over 60.5 receiving yardsCade Otton · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | +168at BetOnline | 4 of 15· last season27%needs 37% to break even2 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | -26.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Cade Otton in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 4.5 receptionsCade Otton · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | -175at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 64% to break even10 of 11 on the road | -9.3Not beating its price | ||
| Under 3.5 receptionsCade Otton · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) |  +130at Bovada | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 43% to break even6 of 11 on the road | -9.6Not beating its price | ||
| Scores a TDCade Otton · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) |  +260at BetMGM | 1 of 10· last 10 games10%needs 28% to break even0 of 11 on the road | -21.5Not beating its price | ||
| Over 4.5 receptionsCade Otton · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) |  +139at Caesars | 4 of 15· last season27%needs 42% to break even1 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | -27.6Not beating its price | |
| Over 3.5 receptionsCade Otton · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | -154at Kalshi | 8 of 15· last season53%needs 61% to break even5 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | -31.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.