This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 53% to break even | 5%–56% | 33 points shortwon 20%, needs 53% | 133rushing yards |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 53% to break even | 13%–56% | 23 points shortwon 30%, needs 53% | 112.6rushing yards |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 53% to break even | 28%–67% | 7 points shortwon 47%, needs 53% | 93.3rushing yards |
| This season | 1 of 520%needs 53% to break even | 5%–56% | 33 points shortwon 20%, needs 53% | 133rushing yards |
| Last season | 14 of 2070% |
Tonight KC plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against SEA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 8 of 12 on the road. Tonight: SEA allows 76.8 rushing yards a game to running backs, the 7th fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 89.6): an easy matchup for this bet. How SEA defends running backs
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Rushing yards in each game against under 81.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
This player's other props in the game.
| 52%–84% |
| 17 points betterwon 70%, needs 53% |
| 67rushing yards |
| Every game | 15 of 2560%needs 53% to break even | 44%–74% | 7 points betterwon 60%, needs 53% | 80.2rushing yards |
| Date | Opponent | Rushing yards | Beat 81.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 128 | -46.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | 177 | -95.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 3 | 70 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Wk 2 | 117 | -35.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 1 | 173 | -91.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 22 | 135 | -53.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 21 | 62 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Wk 20 | 116 | -34.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 18 | 97 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 17 | 51 | +30.5 | Won | |
| Wk 16 | 100 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 15 | 17 | +64.5 | Won | |
| Wk 14 | 29 | +52.5 | Won | |
| Wk 13 | 56 | +25.5 | Won | |
| Wk 12 | 71 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Wk 11 | 67 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Wk 10 | 67 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Wk 9 | 42 | +39.5 | Won | |
| Wk 7 | 66 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Wk 6 | 34 | +47.5 | Won | |
| Wk 5 | 86 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | 81 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 3 | 38 | +43.5 | Won | |
| Wk 2 | 105 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 1 | 20 | +61.5 | Won | |
| -330at Bovada |
| 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 77% to break even8 of 12 on the road |
| -23.4Not beating its price |
| Over 69.5 rushing yardsKenneth Walker III · Tomorrow 8:20 PM ETWithout Rice (WR) | -199at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 67% to break even7 of 12 on the road | -18.3Not beating its price |
| Over 74.5 rushing yardsKenneth Walker III · Tomorrow 8:20 PM ETWithout Rice (WR) | -185at Bovada | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 65% to break even5 of 12 on the road | -25.9Not beating its price |
| Over 79.5 rushing yardsKenneth Walker III · Tomorrow 8:20 PM ETWithout Rice (WR) | -121at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 55% to break even5 of 12 on the road | -17.4Not beating its price |
| Over 81.5 rushing yardsKenneth Walker III · Tomorrow 8:20 PM ETWithout Rice (WR) | -115at BetMGM | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 53% to break even4 of 12 on the road | -17.4Not beating its price |
| Over 83.5 rushing yardsKenneth Walker III · Tomorrow 8:20 PM ETWithout Rice (WR) | -114at BetRivers | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 53% to break even4 of 12 on the road | -17.2Not beating its price |
| Over 84.5 rushing yardsKenneth Walker III · Tomorrow 8:20 PM ETWithout Rice (WR) | -111at DraftKings | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 53% to break even4 of 12 on the road | -16.6Not beating its price |
| Over 89.5 rushing yardsKenneth Walker III · Tomorrow 8:20 PM ETWithout Rice (WR) | +119at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 46% to break even4 of 12 on the road | -11.8Not beating its price |
| Over 94.5 rushing yardsKenneth Walker III · Tomorrow 8:20 PM ETWithout Rice (WR) | +135at Bovada | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 43% to break even4 of 12 on the road | -9.2Not beating its price |
| Over 99.5 rushing yardsKenneth Walker III · Tomorrow 8:20 PM ETWithout Rice (WR) | +181at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 36% to break even3 of 12 on the road | -7.3Not beating its price |
| Over 104.5 rushing yardsKenneth Walker III · Tomorrow 8:20 PM ETWithout Rice (WR) | +205at Bovada | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 33% to break even3 of 12 on the road | -6.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -137at Kalshi |
| 18 of 20· last season90%needs 58% to break even11 of 12 on the road |
| Record is last season's |
| -0.6Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 receptionsKenneth Walker III · Tomorrow 8:20 PM ETWithout Rice (WR) | +152at Kalshi | 12 of 20· last season60%needs 40% to break even9 of 12 on the road | Record is last season's | -6.5Not beating its price |
| Over 109.5 rush + rec yardsKenneth Walker III · Tomorrow 8:20 PM ETWithout Rice (WR) | -107at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 52% to break even6 of 12 on the road | -10.5Not beating its price |
| Under 14.5 receiving yardsKenneth Walker III · Tomorrow 8:20 PM ETWithout Rice (WR) | +152at Kalshi | 10 of 20· last season50%needs 40% to break even6 of 12 on the road | Record is last season's | -11.6Not beating its price |
| Under 19.5 receiving yardsKenneth Walker III · Tomorrow 8:20 PM ETWithout Rice (WR) | -103at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 51% to break even7 of 12 on the road | -12.0Not beating its price |
| Under 21.5 receiving yardsKenneth Walker III · Tomorrow 8:20 PM ETWithout Rice (WR) | -115at BetMGM | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 53% to break even7 of 12 on the road | -14.3Not beating its price |
| Under 20.5 receiving yardsKenneth Walker III · Tomorrow 8:20 PM ETWithout Rice (WR) | -117at DraftKings | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 54% to break even7 of 12 on the road | -14.7Not beating its price |
| Doesn't score a TDKenneth Walker III · Tomorrow 8:20 PM ETWithout Rice (WR) | +105at Kalshi | 14 of 20· last season70%needs 49% to break even8 of 12 on the road | Record is last season's | -15.5Not beating its price |
| Under 18.5 rush attemptsKenneth Walker III · Tomorrow 8:20 PM ETWithout Rice (WR) | -112at Kalshi | 16 of 20· last season80%needs 53% to break even9 of 12 on the road | Record is last season's | -17.5Not beating its price |
| Over 21.5 rush attemptsKenneth Walker III · Tomorrow 8:20 PM ETWithout Rice (WR) | +189at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 35% to break even2 of 12 on the road | -17.6Not beating its price |
| Over 24.5 receiving yardsKenneth Walker III · Tomorrow 8:20 PM ETWithout Rice (WR) | +119at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 46% to break even5 of 12 on the road | -19.6Not beating its price |
| Under 24.5 receiving yardsKenneth Walker III · Tomorrow 8:20 PM ETWithout Rice (WR) | -154at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 61% to break even7 of 12 on the road | -20.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
Create a free account to see every number on a bet
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.