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NFLPlayer propReceiving yards
Kenneth Walker III under 20.5 receiving yards
Won4 of 5last 5 games · 80%
Best price-117DraftKings
Price needs53.9%wins to break even
Every game16 of 25this season and last
Trend score-14.7Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 54% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 54% to break even | 44%–95% | 26 points betterwon 80%, needs 54% | 19receiving yards |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 54% to break even | 27%–73% | 4 points shortwon 50%, needs 54% | 24.1receiving yards |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 54% to break even | 33%–72% | 1 points shortwon 53%, needs 54% | 23.6receiving yards |
| This season | 4 of 580%needs 54% to break even | 44%–95% | 26 points betterwon 80%, needs 54% | 19receiving yards |
| Last season | 12 of 2060%needs 54% to break even | 42%–76% | 6 points betterwon 60%, needs 54% | 19.3receiving yards |
| Every game | 16 of 2564%needs 54% to break even | 48%–78% | 10 points betterwon 64%, needs 54% | 19.2receiving yards |
Games like tonight
Tonight KC plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against SEA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 7 of 12 on the road. Tonight: SEA allows 30.8 receiving yards a game to running backs, the 14th fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 31.3). How SEA defends running backs
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Kenneth Walker III under 20.5 receiving yards3 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Receiving yards in each game against under 20.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 20.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  LAC | 11 | +9.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 |  LV | 2 | +18.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 |  MIA | 3 | +17.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 |  IND | 61 | -40.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 |  DEN | 18 | +2.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 22 |  NE | 26 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Wk 21 |  LAR | 49 | -28.5 | Lost |
| Wk 20 |  SF | 29 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Wk 18 | SF | 36 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Wk 17 |  CAR | 6 | +14.5 | Won |
| Wk 16 | LAR | 64 | -43.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 | IND | 2 | +18.5 | Won |
| Wk 14 |  ATL | -1 | +21.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 |  MIN | 18 | +2.5 | Won |
| Wk 12 |  TEN | 30 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Wk 11 | LAR | 44 | -23.5 | Lost |
| Wk 10 |  ARI | 3 | +17.5 | Won |
| Wk 9 |  WSH | 19 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 7 |  HOU | 0 | +20.5 | Won |
| Wk 6 |  JAX | 3 | +17.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 |  TB | 0 | +20.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | ARI | 29 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 |  NO | 12 | +8.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 |  PIT | 13 | +7.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | SF | 4 | +16.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Kenneth Walker III in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 receptionsKenneth Walker III · Tomorrow 8:20 PM ETWithout Rice (WR) |  -137at Kalshi | 18 of 20· last season90%needs 58% to break even11 of 12 on the road | Record is last season's | -0.6Not beating its price | |
| Under 2.5 receptionsKenneth Walker III · Tomorrow 8:20 PM ETWithout Rice (WR) | +152at Kalshi | 12 of 20· last season60%needs 40% to break even9 of 12 on the road | Record is last season's | -6.5Not beating its price | |
| Over 104.5 rushing yardsKenneth Walker III · Tomorrow 8:20 PM ETWithout Rice (WR) |  +205at Bovada | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 33% to break even3 of 12 on the road | -6.9Not beating its price | ||
| Over 99.5 rushing yardsKenneth Walker III · Tomorrow 8:20 PM ETWithout Rice (WR) | +181at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 36% to break even3 of 12 on the road | -7.3Not beating its price | ||
| Over 94.5 rushing yardsKenneth Walker III · Tomorrow 8:20 PM ETWithout Rice (WR) | +135at Bovada | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 43% to break even4 of 12 on the road | -9.2Not beating its price | ||
| Over 109.5 rush + rec yardsKenneth Walker III · Tomorrow 8:20 PM ETWithout Rice (WR) | -107at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 52% to break even6 of 12 on the road | -10.5Not beating its price | ||
| Over 89.5 rushing yardsKenneth Walker III · Tomorrow 8:20 PM ETWithout Rice (WR) | +119at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 46% to break even4 of 12 on the road | -11.8Not beating its price | ||
| Under 64.5 rushing yardsKenneth Walker III · Tomorrow 8:20 PM ETWithout Rice (WR) | +235at Bovada | 9 of 20· last season45%needs 30% to break even4 of 12 on the road | Record is last season's | -12.4Not beating its price | |
| Under 74.5 rushing yardsKenneth Walker III · Tomorrow 8:20 PM ETWithout Rice (WR) | +140at Bovada | 13 of 20· last season65%needs 42% to break even7 of 12 on the road | Record is last season's | -13.4Not beating its price | |
| Under 69.5 rushing yardsKenneth Walker III · Tomorrow 8:20 PM ETWithout Rice (WR) | +166at Kalshi | 12 of 20· last season60%needs 38% to break even5 of 12 on the road | Record is last season's | -15.4Not beating its price | |
| Doesn't score a TDKenneth Walker III · Tomorrow 8:20 PM ETWithout Rice (WR) | +105at Kalshi | 14 of 20· last season70%needs 49% to break even8 of 12 on the road | Record is last season's | -15.5Not beating its price | |
| Over 84.5 rushing yardsKenneth Walker III · Tomorrow 8:20 PM ETWithout Rice (WR) |  -111at DraftKings | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 53% to break even4 of 12 on the road | -16.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.