This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 67% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 67% to break even | 65%–100% | 33 points betterwon 100%, needs 67% | 133rushing yards |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 67% to break even | 54%–93% | 13 points betterwon 80%, needs 67% | 112.6rushing yards |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 67% to break even | 46%–83% | evenwon 67%, needs 67% | 93.3rushing yards |
| This season | 5 of 5100%needs 67% to break even | 65%–100% | 33 points betterwon 100%, needs 67% | 133rushing yards |
| Last season |
Tonight KC plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against SEA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 7 of 12 on the road. Tonight: SEA allows 76.8 rushing yards a game to running backs, the 7th fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 89.6): a tough matchup for this bet. How SEA defends running backs
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Rushing yards in each game against over 69.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
This player's other props in the game.
| 8 of 2040%needs 67% to break even |
| 24%–58% |
| 27 points shortwon 40%, needs 67% |
| 67rushing yards |
| Every game | 13 of 2552%needs 67% to break even | 36%–67% | 15 points shortwon 52%, needs 67% | 80.2rushing yards |
| Date | Opponent | Rushing yards | Beat 69.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 128 | +58.5 | Won | |
| Wk 4 | 177 | +107.5 | Won | |
| Wk 3 | 70 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 2 | 117 | +47.5 | Won | |
| Wk 1 | 173 | +103.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 22 | 135 | +65.5 | Won | |
| Wk 21 | 62 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 20 | 116 | +46.5 | Won | |
| Wk 18 | 97 | +27.5 | Won | |
| Wk 17 | 51 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 16 | 100 | +30.5 | Won | |
| Wk 15 | 17 | -52.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 14 | 29 | -40.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 13 | 56 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 12 | 71 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 11 | 67 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 10 | 67 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 9 | 42 | -27.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 7 | 66 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 6 | 34 | -35.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 5 | 86 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Wk 4 | 81 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Wk 3 | 38 | -31.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | 105 | +35.5 | Won | |
| Wk 1 | 20 | -49.5 | Lost | |
| +235at Bovada |
| 9 of 20· last season45%needs 30% to break even4 of 12 on the road |
| Record is last season's |
| -12.4Not beating its price |
| Under 69.5 rushing yardsKenneth Walker III · Tomorrow 8:20 PM ETWithout Rice (WR) | +166at Kalshi | 12 of 20· last season60%needs 38% to break even5 of 12 on the road | Record is last season's | -15.4Not beating its price |
| Under 74.5 rushing yardsKenneth Walker III · Tomorrow 8:20 PM ETWithout Rice (WR) | +140at Bovada | 13 of 20· last season65%needs 42% to break even7 of 12 on the road | Record is last season's | -13.4Not beating its price |
| Under 79.5 rushing yardsKenneth Walker III · Tomorrow 8:20 PM ETWithout Rice (WR) | +101at Kalshi | 13 of 20· last season65%needs 50% to break even7 of 12 on the road | Record is last season's | -20.2Not beating its price |
| Under 81.5 rushing yardsKenneth Walker III · Tomorrow 8:20 PM ETWithout Rice (WR) | -115at BetMGM | 14 of 20· last season70%needs 53% to break even8 of 12 on the road | Record is last season's | -22.0Not beating its price |
| Under 83.5 rushing yardsKenneth Walker III · Tomorrow 8:20 PM ETWithout Rice (WR) | -117at BetRivers | 14 of 20· last season70%needs 54% to break even8 of 12 on the road | Record is last season's | -22.4Not beating its price |
| Under 84.5 rushing yardsKenneth Walker III · Tomorrow 8:20 PM ETWithout Rice (WR) | -112at BetOnline | 14 of 20· last season70%needs 53% to break even8 of 12 on the road | Record is last season's | -21.5Not beating its price |
| Under 89.5 rushing yardsKenneth Walker III · Tomorrow 8:20 PM ETWithout Rice (WR) | -142at Kalshi | 15 of 20· last season75%needs 59% to break even8 of 12 on the road | Record is last season's | -25.0Not beating its price |
| Under 94.5 rushing yardsKenneth Walker III · Tomorrow 8:20 PM ETWithout Rice (WR) | -180at Bovada | 15 of 20· last season75%needs 64% to break even8 of 12 on the road | Record is last season's | -29.7Not beating its price |
| Under 104.5 rushing yardsKenneth Walker III · Tomorrow 8:20 PM ETWithout Rice (WR) | -280at Bovada | 17 of 20· last season85%needs 74% to break even9 of 12 on the road | Record is last season's | -30.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -137at Kalshi |
| 18 of 20· last season90%needs 58% to break even11 of 12 on the road |
| Record is last season's |
| -0.6Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 receptionsKenneth Walker III · Tomorrow 8:20 PM ETWithout Rice (WR) | +152at Kalshi | 12 of 20· last season60%needs 40% to break even9 of 12 on the road | Record is last season's | -6.5Not beating its price |
| Over 109.5 rush + rec yardsKenneth Walker III · Tomorrow 8:20 PM ETWithout Rice (WR) | -107at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 52% to break even6 of 12 on the road | -10.5Not beating its price |
| Under 14.5 receiving yardsKenneth Walker III · Tomorrow 8:20 PM ETWithout Rice (WR) | +152at Kalshi | 10 of 20· last season50%needs 40% to break even6 of 12 on the road | Record is last season's | -11.6Not beating its price |
| Under 19.5 receiving yardsKenneth Walker III · Tomorrow 8:20 PM ETWithout Rice (WR) | -103at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 51% to break even7 of 12 on the road | -12.0Not beating its price |
| Under 21.5 receiving yardsKenneth Walker III · Tomorrow 8:20 PM ETWithout Rice (WR) | -115at BetMGM | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 53% to break even7 of 12 on the road | -14.3Not beating its price |
| Under 20.5 receiving yardsKenneth Walker III · Tomorrow 8:20 PM ETWithout Rice (WR) | -117at DraftKings | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 54% to break even7 of 12 on the road | -14.7Not beating its price |
| Doesn't score a TDKenneth Walker III · Tomorrow 8:20 PM ETWithout Rice (WR) | +105at Kalshi | 14 of 20· last season70%needs 49% to break even8 of 12 on the road | Record is last season's | -15.5Not beating its price |
| Under 18.5 rush attemptsKenneth Walker III · Tomorrow 8:20 PM ETWithout Rice (WR) | -112at Kalshi | 16 of 20· last season80%needs 53% to break even9 of 12 on the road | Record is last season's | -17.5Not beating its price |
| Over 21.5 rush attemptsKenneth Walker III · Tomorrow 8:20 PM ETWithout Rice (WR) | +189at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 35% to break even2 of 12 on the road | -17.6Not beating its price |
| Over 24.5 receiving yardsKenneth Walker III · Tomorrow 8:20 PM ETWithout Rice (WR) | +119at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 46% to break even5 of 12 on the road | -19.6Not beating its price |
| Under 24.5 receiving yardsKenneth Walker III · Tomorrow 8:20 PM ETWithout Rice (WR) | -154at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 61% to break even7 of 12 on the road | -20.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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