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NFLPlayer propRushing yards
Kenneth Walker III under 64.5 rushing yards
Won9 of 20last season · 45%
Best price+235Bovada
Price needs29.9%wins to break even
Every game9 of 25this season and last
Trend score-12.4Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 30% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 30% to break even | 0%–35% | 30 points shortwon 0%, needs 30% | 133rushing yards |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 30% to break even | 7%–46% | 10 points shortwon 20%, needs 30% | 112.6rushing yards |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 30% to break even | 17%–54% | 3 points betterwon 33%, needs 30% | 93.3rushing yards |
| This season | 0 of 50%needs 30% to break even | 0%–35% | 30 points shortwon 0%, needs 30% | 133rushing yards |
| Last season | 9 of 2045%needs 30% to break even | 28%–63% | 15 points betterwon 45%, needs 30% | 67rushing yards |
| Every game | 9 of 2536%needs 30% to break even | 22%–52% | 6 points betterwon 36%, needs 30% | 80.2rushing yards |
Games like tonight
Tonight KC plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against SEA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 4 of 12 on the road. Tonight: SEA allows 76.8 rushing yards a game to running backs, the 7th fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 89.6): an easy matchup for this bet. How SEA defends running backs
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Every book's price
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Kenneth Walker III under 64.5 rushing yards1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Rushing yards in each game against under 64.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Rushing yards | Beat 64.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  LAC | 128 | -63.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 |  LV | 177 | -112.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 |  MIA | 70 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  IND | 117 | -52.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 |  DEN | 173 | -108.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 22 |  NE | 135 | -70.5 | Lost |
| Wk 21 |  LAR | 62 | +2.5 | Won |
| Wk 20 |  SF | 116 | -51.5 | Lost |
| Wk 18 | SF | 97 | -32.5 | Lost |
| Wk 17 |  CAR | 51 | +13.5 | Won |
| Wk 16 | LAR | 100 | -35.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 | IND | 17 | +47.5 | Won |
| Wk 14 |  ATL | 29 | +35.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 |  MIN | 56 | +8.5 | Won |
| Wk 12 |  TEN | 71 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Wk 11 | LAR | 67 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Wk 10 |  ARI | 67 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 |  WSH | 42 | +22.5 | Won |
| Wk 7 |  HOU | 66 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 6 |  JAX | 34 | +30.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 |  TB | 86 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 | ARI | 81 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 |  NO | 38 | +26.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 |  PIT | 105 | -40.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | SF | 20 | +44.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Kenneth Walker III in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 receptionsKenneth Walker III · Tomorrow 8:20 PM ETWithout Rice (WR) |  -142at Kalshi | 18 of 20· last season90%needs 59% to break even11 of 12 on the road | Record is last season's | -1.4Not beating its price | |
| Under 2.5 receptionsKenneth Walker III · Tomorrow 8:20 PM ETWithout Rice (WR) | +152at Kalshi | 12 of 20· last season60%needs 40% to break even9 of 12 on the road | Record is last season's | -6.5Not beating its price | |
| Over 109.5 rush + rec yardsKenneth Walker III · Tomorrow 8:20 PM ETWithout Rice (WR) | -107at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 52% to break even6 of 12 on the road | -10.5Not beating its price | ||
| Under 14.5 receiving yardsKenneth Walker III · Tomorrow 8:20 PM ETWithout Rice (WR) | +152at Kalshi | 10 of 20· last season50%needs 40% to break even6 of 12 on the road | Record is last season's | -11.6Not beating its price | |
| Under 19.5 receiving yardsKenneth Walker III · Tomorrow 8:20 PM ETWithout Rice (WR) | -103at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 51% to break even7 of 12 on the road | -12.0Not beating its price | ||
| Under 21.5 receiving yardsKenneth Walker III · Tomorrow 8:20 PM ETWithout Rice (WR) |  -115at BetMGM | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 53% to break even7 of 12 on the road | -14.3Not beating its price | ||
| Under 20.5 receiving yardsKenneth Walker III · Tomorrow 8:20 PM ETWithout Rice (WR) |  -117at DraftKings | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 54% to break even7 of 12 on the road | -14.7Not beating its price | ||
| Doesn't score a TDKenneth Walker III · Tomorrow 8:20 PM ETWithout Rice (WR) | +105at Kalshi | 14 of 20· last season70%needs 49% to break even8 of 12 on the road | Record is last season's | -15.5Not beating its price | |
| Under 18.5 rush attemptsKenneth Walker III · Tomorrow 8:20 PM ETWithout Rice (WR) | -112at Kalshi | 16 of 20· last season80%needs 53% to break even9 of 12 on the road | Record is last season's | -17.5Not beating its price | |
| Over 21.5 rush attemptsKenneth Walker III · Tomorrow 8:20 PM ETWithout Rice (WR) | +189at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 35% to break even2 of 12 on the road | -17.6Not beating its price | ||
| Over 24.5 receiving yardsKenneth Walker III · Tomorrow 8:20 PM ETWithout Rice (WR) | +119at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 46% to break even5 of 12 on the road | -19.6Not beating its price | ||
| Under 24.5 receiving yardsKenneth Walker III · Tomorrow 8:20 PM ETWithout Rice (WR) | -154at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 61% to break even7 of 12 on the road | -20.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.