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NFLPlayer propPassing yards
Patrick Mahomes over 199.5 passing yards
Won12 of 15last 15 games · 80%
Best price-190Bovada
Price needs65.5%wins to break even
Every game15 of 19this season and last
Trend score-10.9Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 66% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 66% to break even | 44%–95% | 14 points betterwon 80%, needs 66% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 66% to break even | 44%–87% | 4 points betterwon 70%, needs 66% |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 66% to break even | 59%–92% | 14 points betterwon 80%, needs 66% |
| This season | 4 of 580%needs 66% to break even | 44%–95% | 14 points betterwon 80%, needs 66% |
| Last season | 11 of 1479%needs 66% to break even | 57%–91% | 13 points better |
Games like tonight
Tonight KC plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against SEA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Patrick Mahomes over 199.5 passing yards2 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Passing yards in each game against over 199.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Passing yards | Beat 199.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  LAC | 272 | +72.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | ||||
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 189.5 passing yardsPatrick Mahomes |
More on Patrick Mahomes in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 14.5 rushing yardsPatrick Mahomes |
