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NFLPlayer propPassing yards
Patrick Mahomes under 249.5 passing yards
Won3 of 5last 5 games · 60%
Best price-230Bovada
Price needs69.7%wins to break even
Every game7 of 19this season and last
Trend score-39.0Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 70% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 70% to break even | 27%–86% | 10 points shortwon 60%, needs 70% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 70% to break even | 27%–73% | 20 points shortwon 50%, needs 70% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 70% to break even | 17%–54% | 36 points shortwon 33%, needs 70% |
| This season | 3 of 560%needs 70% to break even | 27%–86% | 10 points shortwon 60%, needs 70% |
| Last season | 4 of 1429%needs 70% to break even | 14%–51% | 41 points shortwon 29%, needs 70% |
| Every game |
Games like tonight
Tonight KC plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against SEA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Patrick Mahomes under 249.5 passing yards2 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Passing yards in each game against under 249.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Passing yards | Beat 249.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  LAC | 272 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 | ||||
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 189.5 passing yardsPatrick Mahomes |
More on Patrick Mahomes in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 14.5 rushing yardsPatrick Mahomes |
