This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 46% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 46% to break even | 27%–86% | 14 points betterwon 60%, needs 46% | 52total points |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 46% to break even | 35%–81% | 14 points betterwon 60%, needs 46% | 48total points |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 46% to break even | 28%–67% | 1 points betterwon 47%, needs 46% | 53.1total points |
| This season | 5 of 771%needs 46% to break even | 41%–90% | 26 points betterwon 71%, needs 46% | 47.9total points |
| Last season |
Tonight UNLV plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against NIU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 3 of 9 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 50.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 50.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 50.5 game total, UNLV games |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 38.5 team total |
| 3 of 1421%needs 46% to break even |
| 9%–43% |
| 24 points shortwon 21%, needs 46% |
| 62.1total points |
| Every game | 8 of 2138%needs 46% to break even | 23%–56% | 8 points shortwon 38%, needs 46% | 57.3total points |
| This season |
| Oct 17 | AFA | 72 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Oct 10 | 20 | +30.5 | Won |
| Oct 3 | 70 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 | 48 | +2.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 50 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 27 | +23.5 | Won |
| Aug 29 | 48 | +2.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 23 | 27 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 59 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Nov 29 | 59 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Nov 21 | 48 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 55 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | 52 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | 75 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | 87 | -36.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | AFA | 99 | -48.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | 48 | +2.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 79 | -28.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | 53 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Aug 29 | 59 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Aug 23 | 69 | -18.5 | Lost |
| -168at Kalshi |
| 11 of 14· last season79%needs 63% to break even6 of 9 at home |
| Record is last season's |
| -27.3Not beating its price |
| Over 51.5 game total, UNLV gamesUNLV · Sat, Oct 31, 10:30 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 11 of 14· last season79%needs 60% to break even6 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -24.9Not beating its price |
| Over 52.5 game total, UNLV gamesUNLV · Sat, Oct 31, 10:30 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 10 of 14· last season71%needs 57% to break even6 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -24.9Not beating its price |
| Over 53.5 game total, UNLV gamesUNLV · Sat, Oct 31, 10:30 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 9 of 14· last season64%needs 55% to break even5 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -24.7Not beating its price |
| Over 54.5 game total, UNLV gamesUNLV · Sat, Oct 31, 10:30 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 9 of 14· last season64%needs 52% to break even5 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -22.2Not beating its price |
| Over 55.5 game total, UNLV gamesUNLV · Sat, Oct 31, 10:30 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 8 of 14· last season57%needs 48% to break even4 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -21.3Not beating its price |
| Over 56.5 game total, UNLV gamesUNLV · Sat, Oct 31, 10:30 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 8 of 14· last season57%needs 47% to break even4 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -20.4Not beating its price |
| Over 59.5 game total, UNLV gamesUNLV · Sat, Oct 31, 10:30 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 5 of 14· last season36%needs 38% to break even4 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -20.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -121at Kalshi |
| 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 55% to break even7 of 9 at home |
| -1.8Not beating its price |
| Under 34.5 team totalUNLV · Sat, Oct 31, 10:30 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 40% to break even4 of 9 at home | -3.8Not beating its price |
| Under 37.5 team totalUNLV · Sat, Oct 31, 10:30 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 48% to break even5 of 9 at home | -8.2Not beating its price |
| UNLV -30.5 spreadUNLV · Sat, Oct 31, 10:30 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 1 of 14· last season7%needs 41% to break even0 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -32.3Not beating its price |
| UNLV -27.5 spreadUNLV · Sat, Oct 31, 10:30 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 3 of 15· last 15 games20%needs 47% to break even1 of 9 at home | -34.0Not beating its price |
| Over 37.5 team totalUNLV · Sat, Oct 31, 10:30 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 7 of 14· last season50%needs 60% to break even4 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -34.0Not beating its price |
| UNLV -24.5 spreadUNLV · Sat, Oct 31, 10:30 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 4 of 15· last 15 games27%needs 52% to break even1 of 9 at home | -35.7Not beating its price |
| Over 38.5 team totalUNLV · Sat, Oct 31, 10:30 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 4 of 14· last season29%needs 54% to break even2 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -37.1Not beating its price |
| UNLV -23.5 spreadUNLV · Sat, Oct 31, 10:30 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 4 of 15· last 15 games27%needs 57% to break even1 of 9 at home | -39.8Not beating its price |
| UNLV -21.5 spreadUNLV · Sat, Oct 31, 10:30 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 4 of 15· last 15 games27%needs 61% to break even1 of 9 at home | -42.9Not beating its price |
| UNLV to win moneylineUNLV · Sat, Oct 31, 10:30 PM ET | -1684at Kalshi | 10 of 14· last season71%needs 94% to break even7 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -48.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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