This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 47% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 47% to break even | 5%–56% | 27 points shortwon 20%, needs 47% | lost by 1.2points |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1010%needs 47% to break even | 2%–35% | 37 points shortwon 10%, needs 47% | won by 0.4points |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1520%needs 47% to break even | 8%–41% | 27 points shortwon 20%, needs 47% | won by 2.5points |
| This season | 1 of 714%needs 47% to break even | 3%–45% | 32 points shortwon 14%, needs 47% | won by 0.4points |
| Last season | 2 of 1414% |
Tonight UNLV plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against NIU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 1 of 9 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against UNLV -27.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 27.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 38.5 team total |
| 5%–35% |
| 32 points shortwon 14%, needs 47% |
| won by 6.1points |
| Every game | 3 of 2114%needs 47% to break even | 6%–31% | 32 points shortwon 14%, needs 47% | won by 4.2points |
| This season |
| Oct 17 | AFA | -10 | -37.5 | Lost |
| Oct 10 | 6 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Oct 3 | 8 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 | 28 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | -38 | -65.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 | 15 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Aug 29 | -6 | -33.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 23 | -7 | -34.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | -17 | -44.5 | Lost |
| Nov 29 | 25 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 21 | 28 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 3 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | 32 | +4.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | -5 | -32.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | -25 | -52.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | AFA | 3 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | 14 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 3 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | 7 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Aug 29 | 17 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Aug 23 | 7 | -20.5 | Lost |
| -121at Kalshi |
| 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 55% to break even7 of 9 at home |
| -1.8Not beating its price |
| Under 34.5 team totalUNLV · Sat, Oct 31, 10:30 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 40% to break even4 of 9 at home | -3.8Not beating its price |
| Under 37.5 team totalUNLV · Sat, Oct 31, 10:30 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 48% to break even5 of 9 at home | -8.2Not beating its price |
| Under 50.5 game total, UNLV gamesUNLV · Sat, Oct 31, 10:30 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 46% to break even3 of 9 at home | Record is this season's | -15.0Not beating its price |
| Under 51.5 game total, UNLV gamesUNLV · Sat, Oct 31, 10:30 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 48% to break even3 of 9 at home | Record is this season's | -16.8Not beating its price |
| Under 53.5 game total, UNLV gamesUNLV · Sat, Oct 31, 10:30 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 52% to break even4 of 9 at home | Record is this season's | -17.0Not beating its price |
| Under 52.5 game total, UNLV gamesUNLV · Sat, Oct 31, 10:30 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 52% to break even3 of 9 at home | Record is this season's | -18.1Not beating its price |
| Over 59.5 game total, UNLV gamesUNLV · Sat, Oct 31, 10:30 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 5 of 14· last season36%needs 38% to break even4 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -20.1Not beating its price |
| Under 54.5 game total, UNLV gamesUNLV · Sat, Oct 31, 10:30 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 56% to break even4 of 9 at home | Record is this season's | -20.3Not beating its price |
| Over 56.5 game total, UNLV gamesUNLV · Sat, Oct 31, 10:30 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 8 of 14· last season57%needs 47% to break even4 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -20.4Not beating its price |
| Over 55.5 game total, UNLV gamesUNLV · Sat, Oct 31, 10:30 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 8 of 14· last season57%needs 48% to break even4 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -21.3Not beating its price |
| Under 55.5 game total, UNLV gamesUNLV · Sat, Oct 31, 10:30 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 60% to break even5 of 9 at home | Record is this season's | -21.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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