This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 38% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 38% to break even | 14%–73% | 2 points betterwon 40%, needs 38% | 52total points |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 38% to break even | 7%–46% | 18 points shortwon 20%, needs 38% | 48total points |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 38% to break even | 13%–48% | 11 points shortwon 27%, needs 38% | 53.1total points |
| This season | 2 of 729%needs 38% to break even | 10%–59% | 9 points shortwon 29%, needs 38% | 47.9total points |
| Last season | 5 of 1436%needs 38% to break even | 19%–57% | 2 points shortwon 36%, needs 38% | 62.1total points |
| Every game | 7 of 2133%needs 38% to break even | 19%–51% | 4 points shortwon 33%, needs 38% | 57.3total points |
Tonight UNLV plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against NIU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 4 of 9 at home.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against over 59.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 59.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | AFA | 72 | +12.5 | Won |
| Oct 10 | 20 | -39.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | 70 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | 48 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 50 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 27 | -32.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 48 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 23 | 27 | -32.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 59 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 59 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 21 | 48 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | 55 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 52 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 75 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 87 | +27.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | AFA | 99 | +39.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 | 48 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 79 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 53 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 59 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 69 | +9.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 47.5 game total, UNLV gamesUNLV · Sat, Oct 31, 10:30 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 3 of 10· last 10 games30%needs 38% to break even1 of 9 at home | -24.5Not beating its price | ||
| Under 50.5 game total, UNLV gamesUNLV · Sat, Oct 31, 10:30 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 46% to break even3 of 9 at home | Record is this season's | -15.0Not beating its price | |
| Under 51.5 game total, UNLV gamesUNLV · Sat, Oct 31, 10:30 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 48% to break even3 of 9 at home | Record is this season's | -16.8Not beating its price | |
| Under 52.5 game total, UNLV gamesUNLV · Sat, Oct 31, 10:30 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 52% to break even3 of 9 at home | Record is this season's | -18.1Not beating its price | |
| Under 53.5 game total, UNLV gamesUNLV · Sat, Oct 31, 10:30 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 52% to break even4 of 9 at home | Record is this season's | -17.0Not beating its price | |
| Under 54.5 game total, UNLV gamesUNLV · Sat, Oct 31, 10:30 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 56% to break even4 of 9 at home | Record is this season's | -20.3Not beating its price | |
| Under 55.5 game total, UNLV gamesUNLV · Sat, Oct 31, 10:30 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 60% to break even5 of 9 at home | Record is this season's | -21.4Not beating its price | |
| Under 56.5 game total, UNLV gamesUNLV · Sat, Oct 31, 10:30 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 62% to break even5 of 9 at home | Record is this season's | -23.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 38.5 team totalUNLV · Sat, Oct 31, 10:30 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 55% to break even7 of 9 at home | -1.8Not beating its price | ||
| Under 34.5 team totalUNLV · Sat, Oct 31, 10:30 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 40% to break even4 of 9 at home | -3.8Not beating its price | ||
| Under 37.5 team totalUNLV · Sat, Oct 31, 10:30 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 48% to break even5 of 9 at home | -8.2Not beating its price | ||
| UNLV -30.5 spreadUNLV · Sat, Oct 31, 10:30 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 1 of 14· last season7%needs 41% to break even0 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -32.3Not beating its price | |
| UNLV -27.5 spreadUNLV · Sat, Oct 31, 10:30 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 3 of 15· last 15 games20%needs 47% to break even1 of 9 at home | -34.0Not beating its price | ||
| Over 37.5 team totalUNLV · Sat, Oct 31, 10:30 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 7 of 14· last season50%needs 60% to break even4 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -34.0Not beating its price | |
| UNLV -24.5 spreadUNLV · Sat, Oct 31, 10:30 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 4 of 15· last 15 games27%needs 52% to break even1 of 9 at home | -35.7Not beating its price | ||
| Over 38.5 team totalUNLV · Sat, Oct 31, 10:30 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 4 of 14· last season29%needs 54% to break even2 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -37.1Not beating its price | |
| UNLV -23.5 spreadUNLV · Sat, Oct 31, 10:30 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 4 of 15· last 15 games27%needs 57% to break even1 of 9 at home | -39.8Not beating its price | ||
| UNLV -21.5 spreadUNLV · Sat, Oct 31, 10:30 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 4 of 15· last 15 games27%needs 61% to break even1 of 9 at home | -42.9Not beating its price | ||
| UNLV to win moneylineUNLV · Sat, Oct 31, 10:30 PM ET | -1684at Kalshi | 10 of 14· last season71%needs 94% to break even7 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -48.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.