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Won12 of 15last 15 games · 80%
Best price-121Kalshi
Price needs54.8%wins to break even
Every game16 of 21this season and last
Trend score-1.8Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 55% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 55% to break even | 44%–95% | 25 points betterwon 80%, needs 55% | 25.4points |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 55% to break even | 54%–93% | 25 points betterwon 80%, needs 55% | 24.2points |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 55% to break even | 59%–92% | 25 points betterwon 80%, needs 55% | 27.8points |
| This season | 6 of 786%needs 55% to break even | 55%–97% | 31 points betterwon 86%, needs 55% | 24.1points |
| Last season | 10 of 1471%needs 55% to break even | 49%–86% | 17 points betterwon 71%, needs 55% | 34.1points |
| Every game | 16 of 2176%needs 55% to break even | 59%–88% | 21 points betterwon 76%, needs 55% | 30.8points |
Games like tonight
Tonight UNLV plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against NIU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 7 of 9 at home.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Under 38.5 (team total)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
UNLV points in each game against under 38.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | UNLV points | Beat 38.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | AFA | 31 | +7.5 | Won |
| Oct 10 |  NDSU | 13 | +25.5 | Won |
| Oct 3 |  CAL | 39 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 |  AKR | 38 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 |  UNT | 6 | +32.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 |  HAW | 21 | +17.5 | Won |
| Aug 29 |  MEM | 21 | +17.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 23 |  OHIO | 10 | +28.5 | Won |
| Dec 5 |  BOIS | 21 | +17.5 | Won |
| Nov 29 |  NEV | 42 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 21 | HAW | 38 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 |  USU | 29 | +9.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 |  CSU | 42 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 |  UNM | 35 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 | BOIS | 31 | +7.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | AFA | 51 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 |  WYO | 31 | +7.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 |  M-OH | 41 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 |  UCLA | 30 | +8.5 | Won |
| Aug 29 |  SHSU | 38 | +0.5 | Won |
| Aug 23 |  IDST | 38 | +0.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 37.5 team totalUNLV · Sat, Oct 31, 10:30 PM ET |  -148at Kalshi | 7 of 14· last season50%needs 60% to break even4 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -34.0Not beating its price | |
| Over 38.5 team totalUNLV · Sat, Oct 31, 10:30 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 4 of 14· last season29%needs 54% to break even2 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -37.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on UNLV in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 50.5 game total, UNLV gamesUNLV · Sat, Oct 31, 10:30 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 46% to break even3 of 9 at home | Record is this season's | -15.0Not beating its price | |
| Under 51.5 game total, UNLV gamesUNLV · Sat, Oct 31, 10:30 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 48% to break even3 of 9 at home | Record is this season's | -16.8Not beating its price | |
| Under 53.5 game total, UNLV gamesUNLV · Sat, Oct 31, 10:30 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 52% to break even4 of 9 at home | Record is this season's | -17.0Not beating its price | |
| Under 52.5 game total, UNLV gamesUNLV · Sat, Oct 31, 10:30 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 52% to break even3 of 9 at home | Record is this season's | -18.1Not beating its price | |
| Over 59.5 game total, UNLV gamesUNLV · Sat, Oct 31, 10:30 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 5 of 14· last season36%needs 38% to break even4 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -20.1Not beating its price | |
| Under 54.5 game total, UNLV gamesUNLV · Sat, Oct 31, 10:30 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 56% to break even4 of 9 at home | Record is this season's | -20.3Not beating its price | |
| Over 56.5 game total, UNLV gamesUNLV · Sat, Oct 31, 10:30 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 8 of 14· last season57%needs 47% to break even4 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -20.4Not beating its price | |
| Over 55.5 game total, UNLV gamesUNLV · Sat, Oct 31, 10:30 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 8 of 14· last season57%needs 48% to break even4 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -21.3Not beating its price | |
| Under 55.5 game total, UNLV gamesUNLV · Sat, Oct 31, 10:30 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 60% to break even5 of 9 at home | Record is this season's | -21.4Not beating its price | |
| Over 54.5 game total, UNLV gamesUNLV · Sat, Oct 31, 10:30 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 9 of 14· last season64%needs 52% to break even5 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -22.2Not beating its price | |
| Under 56.5 game total, UNLV gamesUNLV · Sat, Oct 31, 10:30 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 62% to break even5 of 9 at home | Record is this season's | -23.0Not beating its price | |
| Under 47.5 game total, UNLV gamesUNLV · Sat, Oct 31, 10:30 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 3 of 10· last 10 games30%needs 38% to break even1 of 9 at home | -24.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.