This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 45% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 45% to break even | 0%–35% | 45 points shortwon 0%, needs 45% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 45% to break even | 13%–56% | 15 points shortwon 30%, needs 45% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 45% to break even | 17%–54% | 11 points shortwon 33%, needs 45% |
| This season | 1 of 617%needs 45% to break even | 4%–50% | 28 points shortwon 17%, needs 45% |
| Last season | 4 of 1331%needs 45% to break even | 15%–54% | 14 points shortwon 31%, needs 45% |
| Every game | 5 of 1926%needs 45% to break even | 13%–45% | 18 points shortwon 26%, needs 45% |
Tonight TEX plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against MISS. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against over 56.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 56.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 51 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 48.5 game total, TEX gamesTexas Longhorns · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEX -3.5 1st quarter spreadTexas Longhorns · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET |
| 51 |
| -5.5 |
| Lost |
| Sep 26 | 37 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | 36 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | 47 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 | 66 | +9.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 31 | 68 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 44 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | 89 | +32.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 45 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | 65 | +8.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | 83 | +26.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 | 29 | -27.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | 29 | -27.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | 50 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 55 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 37 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | 45 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 | 21 | -35.5 | Lost |
| 7 of 13· last season54%needs 39% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -8.8Not beating its price |
| Under 51.5 game total, TEX gamesTexas Longhorns · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +126at Polymarket | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 44% to break even | 2.5Slight |
| Under 52.5 game total, TEX gamesTexas Longhorns · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 48% to break even | -0.3Not beating its price |
| Under 53.5 game total, TEX gamesTexas Longhorns · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | -105at Polymarket | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 51% to break even | -3.0Not beating its price |
| Under 54.5 game total, TEX gamesTexas Longhorns · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | -110at FanDuel | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 52% to break even | -3.9Not beating its price |
| Under 55.5 game total, TEX gamesTexas Longhorns · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | -134at Polymarket | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 57% to break even | -6.4Not beating its price |
| Under 56.5 game total, TEX gamesTexas Longhorns · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 61% to break even | -9.0Not beating its price |
| Under 57.5 game total, TEX gamesTexas Longhorns · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 62% to break even | -9.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 5 of 6· this season83%needs 39% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -3.6Not beating its price |
| TEX -6.5 1st half spreadTexas Longhorns · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 38% to break even | Record is this season's | -4.1Not beating its price |
| TEX -4.5 1st half spreadTexas Longhorns · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 40% to break even | Record is this season's | -5.7Not beating its price |
| TEX -3.5 1st half spreadTexas Longhorns · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 45% to break even | Record is this season's | -6.3Not beating its price |
| Under 27.5 1st half totalTexas Longhorns · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | -119at Polymarket | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 54% to break even | -6.8Not beating its price |
| Under 27.5 team totalTexas Longhorns · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 47% to break even | -8.1Not beating its price |
| Under 13.5 1st quarter totalTexas Longhorns · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 62% to break even | -8.7Not beating its price |
| TEX -0.5 1st quarter spreadTexas Longhorns · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 46% to break even | Record is this season's | -9.2Not beating its price |
| TEX -2.5 1st quarter spreadTexas Longhorns · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 46% to break even | Record is this season's | -9.2Not beating its price |
| Under 26.5 1st half totalTexas Longhorns · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 49% to break even | -9.7Not beating its price |
| TEX -9.5 spreadTexas Longhorns · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 7 of 13· last season54%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.8Not beating its price |
| Under 30.5 team totalTexas Longhorns · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 60% to break even | -11.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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