This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 48% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 48% to break even | 65%–100% | 52 points betterwon 100%, needs 48% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 48% to break even | 44%–87% | 22 points betterwon 70%, needs 48% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 48% to break even | 46%–83% | 19 points betterwon 67%, needs 48% |
| This season | 5 of 683%needs 48% to break even | 50%–96% | 35 points betterwon 83%, needs 48% |
| Last season | 8 of 1362%needs 48% to break even | 39%–80% | 14 points betterwon 62%, needs 48% |
| Every game | 13 of 1968%needs 48% to break even | 50%–83% | 21 points betterwon 68%, needs 48% |
Tonight TEX plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against MISS. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 52.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 52.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 51 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 51 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | 37 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 36 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 47 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 66 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 31 | 68 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 44 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 89 | -36.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | 45 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 65 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 83 | -30.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 29 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 29 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 50 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 55 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 37 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 45 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 21 | +31.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.