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NCAAFGame lineSpread
TEX -9.5 (spread)
Won7 of 13last season · 54%
Best price+198Kalshi
Price needs33.6%wins to break even
Every game9 of 19this season and last
Trend score-9.9Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 34% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 34% to break even | 5%–56% | 14 points shortwon 20%, needs 34% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 34% to break even | 27%–73% | 16 points betterwon 50%, needs 34% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 34% to break even | 22%–61% | 6 points betterwon 40%, needs 34% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 34% to break even | 12%–65% | evenwon 33%, needs 34% |
| Last season | 7 of 1354%needs 34% to break even | 32%–74% | 20 points betterwon 54%, needs 34% |
| Every game | 9 of 1947%needs 34% to break even | 30%–65% | 14 points betterwon 47%, needs 34% |
Games like tonight
Tonight TEX plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against MISS. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
TEX -9.5 (spread)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Margin in each game against tex -9.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 9.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 |  FLA | -3 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Oct 10 |  OU | -3 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 |  TENN | 3 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 |  UTSA | 24 | +14.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 |  OSU | 1 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 |  TXST | 52 | +42.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 31 |  MICH | 14 | +4.5 | Won |
| Nov 28 |  TA&M | 10 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 |  ARK | 15 | +5.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 |  UGA | -25 | -34.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 |  VAN | 3 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 |  MSST | 7 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 |  UK | 3 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | OU | 17 | +7.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 | FLA | -8 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 |  SHSU | 55 | +45.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 |  UTEP | 17 | +7.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 |  SJSU | 31 | +21.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | OSU | -7 | -16.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on Texas Longhorns in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.