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NCAAFGame line1st half spread
MSST 1H -1.5 (1st half spread)
Won3 of 6this season · 50%
Best price+131Polymarket
Price needs43.3%wins to break even
Every game8 of 19this season and last
Trend score-21.1Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 43% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 43% to break even | 14%–73% | 3 points shortwon 40%, needs 43% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 43% to break even | 13%–56% | 13 points shortwon 30%, needs 43% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 43% to break even | 13%–48% | 17 points shortwon 27%, needs 43% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 43% to break even | 22%–78% | 7 points betterwon 50%, needs 43% |
| Last season | 5 of 1338%needs 43% to break even | 20%–61% | 5 points shortwon 38%, needs 43% |
| Every game | 8 of 1942%needs 43% to break even | 26%–61% | 1 points shortwon 42%, needs 43% |
Games like tonight
Tonight MSST plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against OU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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MSST 1H -1.5 (1st half spread)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
1H margin in each game against msst 1h -1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1H margin | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 |  LSU | -21 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Oct 3 |  ALA | -11 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 |  MIZ | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 |  ACU | -9 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 |  MINN | 22 | +20.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 |  ULM | 38 | +36.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 2 |  WAKE | -6 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Nov 28 |  MISS | -11 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | MIZ | -11 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 |  UGA | -17 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 |  ARK | -6 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 |  TEX | 10 | +8.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 |  FLA | -6 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 |  TA&M | -4 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 |  TENN | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 |  NIU | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 |  ALCN | 42 | +40.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 |  ASU | 14 | +12.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 |  USM | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on Mississippi State Bulldogs in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.