This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 58% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 58% to break even | 5%–56% | 38 points shortwon 20%, needs 58% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 58% to break even | 27%–73% | 8 points shortwon 50%, needs 58% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 58% to break even | 28%–67% | 11 points shortwon 47%, needs 58% |
| This season | 2 of 729%needs 58% to break even | 10%–59% | 29 points shortwon 29%, needs 58% |
| Last season | 6 of 1346%needs 58% to break even | 26%–68% | 12 points shortwon 46%, needs 58% |
| Every game | 8 of 2040%needs 58% to break even | 24%–58% | 18 points shortwon 40%, needs 58% |
Tonight ARST plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against GAST. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
ARST points in each game against over 27.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | ARST points | Beat 27.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 23 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 8 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 23.5 team totalArkansas State Red Wolves · Sat, Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 53.5 game total, ARST gamesArkansas State Red Wolves · Sat, Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET |
| 49 |
| +21.5 |
| Won |
| Oct 3 | 20 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 | 17 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | 7 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | WES | 52 | +24.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 24 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 18 | 34 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 30 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 20 | 30 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | 21 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | 23 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | 34 | +6.5 | Won |
| Oct 14 | 15 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | 31 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 16 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 21 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 16 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | 14 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 | 42 | +14.5 | Won |
| 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 34% to break even |
| -3.0Not beating its price |
| Under 27.5 team totalArkansas State Red Wolves · Sat, Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 49% to break even | -11.1Not beating its price |
| Under 30.5 team totalArkansas State Red Wolves · Sat, Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 37% to break even |
| -6.7Not beating its price |
| Under 23.5 1st half totalArkansas State Red Wolves · Sat, Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 35% to break even | -8.4Not beating its price |
| Under 54.5 game total, ARST gamesArkansas State Red Wolves · Sat, Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 40% to break even | -9.1Not beating its price |
| Under 62.5 game total, ARST gamesArkansas State Red Wolves · Sat, Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 61% to break even | -9.4Not beating its price |
| Under 29.5 1st half totalArkansas State Red Wolves · Sat, Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 50% to break even | -11.0Not beating its price |
| Under 59.5 game total, ARST gamesArkansas State Red Wolves · Sat, Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 55% to break even | -11.3Not beating its price |
| Under 55.5 game total, ARST gamesArkansas State Red Wolves · Sat, Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 43% to break even | -11.6Not beating its price |
| Under 27.5 1st half totalArkansas State Red Wolves · Sat, Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 46% to break even | -13.0Not beating its price |
| Under 56.5 game total, ARST gamesArkansas State Red Wolves · Sat, Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 45% to break even | -13.1Not beating its price |
| Under 58.5 game total, ARST gamesArkansas State Red Wolves · Sat, Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET | NV+104at Novig | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 49% to break even | -14.4Not beating its price |
| ARST to win moneylineArkansas State Red Wolves · Sat, Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET | NV+117at Novig | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 46% to break even | -15.1Not beating its price |
| Under 57.5 game total, ARST gamesArkansas State Red Wolves · Sat, Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 48% to break even | -15.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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