This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 46% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 46% to break even | 14%–73% | 6 points shortwon 40%, needs 46% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 46% to break even | 27%–73% | 4 points betterwon 50%, needs 46% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 46% to break even | 39%–78% | 14 points betterwon 60%, needs 46% |
| This season | 3 of 743%needs 46% to break even | 19%–71% | 3 points shortwon 43%, needs 46% |
| Last season | 7 of 1354%needs 46% to break even | 32%–74% | 8 points betterwon 54%, needs 46% |
| Every game | 10 of 2050%needs 46% to break even | 33%–67% | 4 points betterwon 50%, needs 46% |
Tonight ARST plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against GAST. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against arst to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 10 | +10 | Won | |
| Oct 8 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 23.5 team totalArkansas State Red Wolves · Sat, Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET |
| -7 |
| -7 |
| Lost |
| Oct 3 | -3 | -3 | Lost |
| Sep 26 | 3 | +3 | Won |
| Sep 19 | -24 | -24 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | WES | 45 | +45 | Won |
| Sep 5 | -18 | -18 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 18 | 6 | +6 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 1 | +1 | Won |
| Nov 20 | -4 | -4 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | -6 | -6 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | 13 | +13 | Won |
| Oct 25 | 10 | +10 | Won |
| Oct 14 | 1 | +1 | Won |
| Oct 4 | 1 | +1 | Won |
| Sep 27 | -12 | -12 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | -7 | -7 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | -8 | -8 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | -42 | -42 | Lost |
| Aug 30 | 18 | +18 | Won |
| 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 34% to break even |
| -3.0Not beating its price |
| Under 53.5 game total, ARST gamesArkansas State Red Wolves · Sat, Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 37% to break even | -6.7Not beating its price |
| Under 23.5 1st half totalArkansas State Red Wolves · Sat, Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 35% to break even | -8.4Not beating its price |
| Under 54.5 game total, ARST gamesArkansas State Red Wolves · Sat, Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 40% to break even | -9.1Not beating its price |
| Under 62.5 game total, ARST gamesArkansas State Red Wolves · Sat, Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 61% to break even | -9.4Not beating its price |
| Under 29.5 1st half totalArkansas State Red Wolves · Sat, Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 50% to break even | -11.0Not beating its price |
| Under 27.5 team totalArkansas State Red Wolves · Sat, Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 49% to break even | -11.1Not beating its price |
| Under 59.5 game total, ARST gamesArkansas State Red Wolves · Sat, Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 55% to break even | -11.3Not beating its price |
| Under 30.5 team totalArkansas State Red Wolves · Sat, Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.5Not beating its price |
| Under 55.5 game total, ARST gamesArkansas State Red Wolves · Sat, Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 43% to break even | -11.6Not beating its price |
| Under 27.5 1st half totalArkansas State Red Wolves · Sat, Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 46% to break even | -13.0Not beating its price |
| Under 56.5 game total, ARST gamesArkansas State Red Wolves · Sat, Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 45% to break even | -13.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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