This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 34% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 34% to break even | 44%–95% | 46 points betterwon 80%, needs 34% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 34% to break even | 19%–65% | 6 points betterwon 40%, needs 34% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 34% to break even | 28%–67% | 13 points betterwon 47%, needs 34% |
| This season | 4 of 757%needs 34% to break even | 29%–81% | 24 points betterwon 57%, needs 34% |
| Last season | 7 of 1354%needs 34% to break even | 32%–74% | 20 points betterwon 54%, needs 34% |
| Every game | 11 of 2055%needs 34% to break even | 37%–72% | 21 points betterwon 55%, needs 34% |
Tonight ARST plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against GAST. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
ARST points in each game against under 23.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | ARST points | Beat 23.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 23 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 8 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 27.5 team totalArkansas State Red Wolves · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 53.5 game total, ARST gamesArkansas State Red Wolves · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET |
| 49 |
| -25.5 |
| Lost |
| Oct 3 | 20 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 26 | 17 | +6.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 | 7 | +16.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | WES | 52 | -28.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 | 24 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 18 | 34 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 30 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Nov 20 | 30 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | 21 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | 23 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | 34 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Oct 14 | 15 | +8.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 | 31 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 16 | +7.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 21 | +2.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 16 | +7.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 14 | +9.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 42 | -18.5 | Lost |
| 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 58% to break even |
| -30.1Not beating its price |
| Over 30.5 team totalArkansas State Red Wolves · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 5 of 15· last 15 games33%needs 47% to break even | -27.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 37% to break even |
| -6.7Not beating its price |
| Under 54.5 game total, ARST gamesArkansas State Red Wolves · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 39% to break even | -8.3Not beating its price |
| Under 62.5 game total, ARST gamesArkansas State Red Wolves · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 61% to break even | -9.4Not beating its price |
| Under 29.5 1st half totalArkansas State Red Wolves · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 50% to break even | -11.0Not beating its price |
| Under 59.5 game total, ARST gamesArkansas State Red Wolves · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 55% to break even | -11.3Not beating its price |
| Under 55.5 game total, ARST gamesArkansas State Red Wolves · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 43% to break even | -11.6Not beating its price |
| Under 27.5 1st half totalArkansas State Red Wolves · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 46% to break even | -13.0Not beating its price |
| Under 56.5 game total, ARST gamesArkansas State Red Wolves · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 45% to break even | -13.1Not beating its price |
| Under 58.5 game total, ARST gamesArkansas State Red Wolves · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | NV+104at Novig | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 49% to break even | -14.4Not beating its price |
| ARST to win moneylineArkansas State Red Wolves · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | NV+117at Novig | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 46% to break even | -15.1Not beating its price |
| Under 57.5 game total, ARST gamesArkansas State Red Wolves · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 48% to break even | -15.7Not beating its price |
| Under 30.5 1st half totalArkansas State Red Wolves · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 56% to break even | -15.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
Create a free account to see every number on a bet
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.