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NCAAFGame lineTeam total
Under 30.5 (team total)
Won9 of 13last season · 69%
Best price-142Kalshi
Price needs58.7%wins to break even
Every game14 of 20this season and last
Trend score-11.5Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 59% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 59% to break even | 44%–95% | 21 points betterwon 80%, needs 59% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 59% to break even | 44%–87% | 11 points betterwon 70%, needs 59% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 59% to break even | 46%–83% | 8 points betterwon 67%, needs 59% |
| This season | 5 of 771%needs 59% to break even | 41%–90% | 13 points betterwon 71%, needs 59% |
| Last season | 9 of 1369%needs 59% to break even | 46%–85% | 11 points betterwon 69%, needs 59% |
| Every game | 14 of 2070%needs 59% to break even | 52%–84% | 11 points betterwon 70%, needs 59% |
Games like tonight
Tonight ARST plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against GAST. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Under 30.5 (team total)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
ARST points in each game against under 30.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | ARST points | Beat 30.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 |  USM | 23 | +7.5 | Won |
| Oct 8 |  USA | 49 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Oct 3 |  UL | 20 | +10.5 | Won |
| Sep 26 |  KENN | 17 | +13.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 |  TCU | 7 | +23.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | WES | 52 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 |  MEM | 24 | +6.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 18 |  MOST | 34 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 29 |  APP | 30 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 20 | UL | 30 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | USM | 21 | +9.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 |  TROY | 23 | +7.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 |  GASO | 34 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Oct 14 | USA | 15 | +15.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 |  TXST | 31 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 |  ULM | 16 | +14.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | KENN | 21 | +9.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 |  ISU | 16 | +14.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 |  ARK | 14 | +16.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 |  SEMO | 42 | -11.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 27.5 team totalArkansas State Red Wolves · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET |  -137at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 58% to break even | -30.1Not beating its price | ||
| Over 30.5 team totalArkansas State Red Wolves · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 5 of 15· last 15 games33%needs 47% to break even | -27.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Arkansas State Red Wolves in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.