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NCAAFGame line1st half total
Under 29.5 (1st half total)
Won4 of 5last 5 games · 80%
Best price+101Kalshi
Price needs49.8%wins to break even
Every game12 of 20this season and last
Trend score-11.0Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 50% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 50% to break even | 44%–95% | 30 points betterwon 80%, needs 50% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 50% to break even | 27%–73% | evenwon 50%, needs 50% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 50% to break even | 39%–78% | 10 points betterwon 60%, needs 50% |
| This season | 5 of 771%needs 50% to break even | 41%–90% | 22 points betterwon 71%, needs 50% |
| Last season | 7 of 1354%needs 50% to break even | 32%–74% | 4 points betterwon 54%, needs 50% |
| Every game | 12 of 2060%needs 50% to break even | 42%–76% | 10 points betterwon 60%, needs 50% |
Games like tonight
Tonight ARST plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against GAST. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Under 29.5 (1st half total)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
1H total points in each game against under 29.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1H total points | Beat 29.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 |  USM | 23 | +6.5 | Won |
| Oct 8 |  USA | 62 | -32.5 | Lost |
| Oct 3 |  UL | 17 | +12.5 | Won |
| Sep 26 |  KENN | 14 | +15.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 |  TCU | 21 | +8.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | WES | 28 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 |  MEM | 38 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 18 |  MOST | 31 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 29 |  APP | 32 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 20 | UL | 51 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | USM | 24 | +5.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 |  TROY | 20 | +9.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 |  GASO | 38 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Oct 14 | USA | 10 | +19.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 |  TXST | 20 | +9.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 |  ULM | 24 | +5.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | KENN | 28 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 |  ISU | 27 | +2.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 |  ARK | 49 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 |  SEMO | 38 | -8.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 27.5 1st half totalArkansas State Red Wolves · Sat, Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET |  -154at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 61% to break even | -28.4Not beating its price | ||
| Over 29.5 1st half totalArkansas State Red Wolves · Sat, Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 55% to break even | -28.6Not beating its price | ||
| Over 30.5 1st half totalArkansas State Red Wolves · Sat, Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 51% to break even | -25.3Not beating its price | ||
| Over 34.5 1st half totalArkansas State Red Wolves · Sat, Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 4 of 13· last season31%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Arkansas State Red Wolves in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.