This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 64% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 64% to break even | 27%–86% | 4 points shortwon 60%, needs 64% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 64% to break even | 44%–87% | 6 points betterwon 70%, needs 64% |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 64% to break even | 59%–92% | 16 points betterwon 80%, needs 64% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 64% to break even | 22%–78% | 14 points shortwon 50%, needs 64% |
| Last season | 11 of 1385%needs 64% to break even | 63%–95% | 21 points betterwon 85%, needs 64% |
| Every game | 14 of 1974%needs 64% to break even | 55%–87% | 10 points betterwon 74%, needs 64% |
Tonight NAVY plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against UNT. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1H total points in each game against under 34.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1H total points | Beat 34.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 41 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 27.5 1st half totalNavy Midshipmen · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAVY +5.5 spreadNavy Midshipmen · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET |
| 34 |
| +0.5 |
| Won |
| Oct 3 | AFA | 17 | +17.5 | Won |
| Sep 25 | 30 | +4.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 38 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 | 40 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 2 | 21 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Dec 13 | 20 | +14.5 | Won |
| Nov 27 | 31 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 33 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | 31 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | 34 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | 34 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | 24 | +10.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 | AFA | 27 | +7.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 14 | +20.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 38 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | 48 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 | 28 | +6.5 | Won |
| 5 of 6· this season83%needs 67% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -17.7Not beating its price |
| Over 30.5 1st half totalNavy Midshipmen · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -129at Polymarket | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 56% to break even | -17.7Not beating its price |
| Over 34.5 1st half totalNavy Midshipmen · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 3 of 6· this season50%needs 42% to break even | Record is this season's | -23.4Not beating its price |
| Over 37.5 1st half totalNavy Midshipmen · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 3 of 6· this season50%needs 34% to break even | Record is this season's | -17.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 63% to break even |
| -5.0Not beating its price |
| NAVY +6.5 spreadNavy Midshipmen · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -187at Polymarket | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 65% to break even | -6.5Not beating its price |
| Under 63.5 game total, NAVY gamesNavy Midshipmen · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | NV+100at Novig | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.5Not beating its price |
| Under 68.5 game total, NAVY gamesNavy Midshipmen · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 66% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.6Not beating its price |
| Under 60.5 game total, NAVY gamesNavy Midshipmen · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 47% to break even | -8.6Not beating its price |
| NAVY to win moneylineNavy Midshipmen · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | PX+123at ProphetX | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.9Not beating its price |
| Under 61.5 game total, NAVY gamesNavy Midshipmen · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +107at Polymarket | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 48% to break even | -9.9Not beating its price |
| NAVY +4.5 spreadNavy Midshipmen · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 61% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.1Not beating its price |
| NAVY +0.5 spreadNavy Midshipmen · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +116at Polymarket | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.1Not beating its price |
| NAVY -0.5 spreadNavy Midshipmen · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +116at Polymarket | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.1Not beating its price |
| Under 65.5 game total, NAVY gamesNavy Midshipmen · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.1Not beating its price |
| Under 62.5 game total, NAVY gamesNavy Midshipmen · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 52% to break even | -11.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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