This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 34% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 34% to break even | 14%–73% | 6 points betterwon 40%, needs 34% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 34% to break even | 13%–56% | 4 points shortwon 30%, needs 34% |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1520%needs 34% to break even | 8%–41% | 14 points shortwon 20%, needs 34% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 34% to break even | 22%–78% | 16 points betterwon 50%, needs 34% |
| Last season | 2 of 1315%needs 34% to break even | 5%–37% | 18 points shortwon 15%, needs 34% |
| Every game | 5 of 1926%needs 34% to break even | 13%–45% | 7 points shortwon 26%, needs 34% |
Tonight NAVY plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against UNT. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1H total points in each game against over 37.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1H total points | Beat 37.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 41 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 34 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | AFA | 17 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Sep 25 | 30 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 38 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 40 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 2 | 21 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 13 | 20 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 27 | 31 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | 33 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 31 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 34 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 34 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 24 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | AFA | 27 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 14 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 38 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 48 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 28 | -9.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 27.5 1st half totalNavy Midshipmen · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 5 of 13· last season38%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.5Not beating its price | |
| Under 30.5 1st half totalNavy Midshipmen · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 6 of 13· last season46%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.6Not beating its price | |
| Under 34.5 1st half totalNavy Midshipmen · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 64% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.