This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 45% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 45% to break even | 5%–56% | 25 points shortwon 20%, needs 45% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 45% to break even | 35%–81% | 15 points betterwon 60%, needs 45% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 45% to break even | 39%–78% | 15 points betterwon 60%, needs 45% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 45% to break even | 12%–65% | 12 points shortwon 33%, needs 45% |
| Last season | 11 of 1385%needs 45% to break even | 63%–95% | 40 points betterwon 85%, needs 45% |
| Every game | 13 of 1968%needs 45% to break even | 50%–83% | 24 points betterwon 68%, needs 45% |
Tonight NAVY plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against UNT. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against navy to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | -4 | -4 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAVY +5.5 spreadNavy Midshipmen · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET |
| 8 |
| +8 |
| Won |
| Oct 3 | AFA | -5 | -5 | Lost |
| Sep 25 | -4 | -4 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | -8 | -8 | Lost |
| Sep 5 | 27 | +27 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 2 | 22 | +22 | Won | |
| Dec 13 | 1 | +1 | Won |
| Nov 27 | 11 | +11 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 3 | +3 | Won |
| Nov 8 | -39 | -39 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | -14 | -14 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | 10 | +10 | Won |
| Oct 11 | 1 | +1 | Won |
| Oct 4 | AFA | 3 | +3 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 8 | +8 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 19 | +19 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 14 | +14 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 45 | +45 | Won |
| 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 63% to break even |
| -5.0Not beating its price |
| NAVY +6.5 spreadNavy Midshipmen · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | -187at Polymarket | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 65% to break even | -6.5Not beating its price |
| Under 63.5 game total, NAVY gamesNavy Midshipmen · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | NV+100at Novig | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.5Not beating its price |
| Under 68.5 game total, NAVY gamesNavy Midshipmen · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 66% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.6Not beating its price |
| Under 60.5 game total, NAVY gamesNavy Midshipmen · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 47% to break even | -8.6Not beating its price |
| Under 61.5 game total, NAVY gamesNavy Midshipmen · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +107at Polymarket | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 48% to break even | -9.9Not beating its price |
| NAVY +4.5 spreadNavy Midshipmen · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 61% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.1Not beating its price |
| NAVY -0.5 spreadNavy Midshipmen · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +116at Polymarket | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.1Not beating its price |
| Under 65.5 game total, NAVY gamesNavy Midshipmen · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.1Not beating its price |
| NAVY +0.5 spreadNavy Midshipmen · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +112at Polymarket | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.8Not beating its price |
| Under 62.5 game total, NAVY gamesNavy Midshipmen · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 52% to break even | -11.2Not beating its price |
| Under 59.5 game total, NAVY gamesNavy Midshipmen · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 43% to break even | -11.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
Create a free account to see every number on a bet
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.