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NCAAFGame lineSpread
NAVY +0.5 (spread)
Won11 of 13last season · 85%
Best price+112Polymarket
Price needs47.2%wins to break even
Every game13 of 19this season and last
Trend score-10.8Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 47% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 47% to break even | 5%–56% | 27 points shortwon 20%, needs 47% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 47% to break even | 35%–81% | 13 points betterwon 60%, needs 47% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 47% to break even | 39%–78% | 13 points betterwon 60%, needs 47% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 47% to break even | 12%–65% | 14 points shortwon 33%, needs 47% |
| Last season | 11 of 1385%needs 47% to break even | 63%–95% | 37 points betterwon 85%, needs 47% |
| Every game | 13 of 1968%needs 47% to break even | 50%–83% | 21 points betterwon 68%, needs 47% |
Games like tonight
Tonight NAVY plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against UNT. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
NAVY +0.5 (spread)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Margin in each game against navy +0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat -0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 |  UTSA | -4 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Oct 10 |  TLSA | 8 | +8.5 | Won |
| Oct 3 | AFA | -5 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Sep 25 |  UAB | -4 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 |  FAU | -8 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 |  TOW | 27 | +27.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 2 |  CIN | 22 | +22.5 | Won |
| Dec 13 |  ARMY | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 27 |  MEM | 11 | +11.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 |  USF | 3 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 |  ND | -39 | -38.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 |  UNT | -14 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | FAU | 10 | +10.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 |  TEM | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 | AFA | 3 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 |  RICE | 8 | +8.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | TLSA | 19 | +19.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | UAB | 14 | +14.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 |  VMI | 45 | +45.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on Navy Midshipmen in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.