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NCAAFGame lineTotal
California Golden Bears @ SMU Mustangs: under 53.5
Won8 of 13last season · 62%
Best price+121Polymarket
Price needs45.2%wins to break even
Every game12 of 20this season and last
Trend score-11.7Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 45% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 45% to break even | 27%–86% | 15 points betterwon 60%, needs 45% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 45% to break even | 27%–73% | 5 points betterwon 50%, needs 45% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 45% to break even | 28%–67% | 1 points betterwon 47%, needs 45% |
| This season | 4 of 757%needs 45% to break even | 29%–81% | 12 points betterwon 57%, needs 45% |
| Last season | 8 of 1362%needs 45% to break even | 39%–80% | 16 points betterwon 62%, needs 45% |
| Every game | 12 of 2060%needs 45% to break even | 42%–76% | 15 points betterwon 60%, needs 45% |
Games like tonight
Tonight CAL plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against SMU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
California Golden Bears @ SMU Mustangs: under 53.51 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Total points in each game against under 53.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 53.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 |  WAKE | 48 | +5.5 | Won |
| Oct 10 | ||||
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 53.5 game total, CAL gamesCalifornia Golden Bears · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET |
More on California Golden Bears in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAL to win moneylineCalifornia Golden Bears · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET |
