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NCAAFGame line1st half spread
CAL 1H +11.5 (1st half spread)
Won12 of 13last season · 92%
Best price-119Polymarket
Price needs54.3%wins to break even
Every game17 of 20this season and last
Trend score0.0Slight
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 54% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 54% to break even | 27%–86% | 6 points betterwon 60%, needs 54% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 54% to break even | 54%–93% | 26 points betterwon 80%, needs 54% |
| Last 15 games | 13 of 1587%needs 54% to break even | 67%–95% | 32 points betterwon 87%, needs 54% |
| This season | 5 of 771%needs 54% to break even | 41%–90% | 17 points betterwon 71%, needs 54% |
| Last season | 12 of 1392%needs 54% to break even | 72%–98% | 38 points betterwon 92%, needs 54% |
| Every game | 17 of 2085%needs 54% to break even | 68%–94% | 31 points betterwon 85%, needs 54% |
Games like tonight
Tonight CAL plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against SMU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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CAL 1H +11.5 (1st half spread)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
1H margin in each game against cal 1h +11.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1H margin | Beat -11.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 |  WAKE | -34 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Oct 10 |  VT | -4 | +7.5 | Won |
| Oct 3 |  UNLV | -17 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Sep 25 |  CLEM | -3 | +8.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 |  WAG | 32 | +43.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 |  SYR | -5 | +6.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 |  UCLA | -7 | +4.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 24 |  HAW | 11 | +22.5 | Won |
| Nov 29 |  SMU | 10 | +21.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 |  STAN | -4 | +7.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 |  LOU | 4 | +15.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 |  UVA | -10 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 24 | VT | 10 | +21.5 | Won |
| Oct 17 |  UNC | 4 | +15.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 |  DUKE | -10 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 |  BC | -3 | +8.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 |  SDSU | -13 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 |  MINN | 3 | +14.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 |  TXSO | 11 | +22.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 |  ORST | 14 | +25.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on California Golden Bears in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.