This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 11% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 11% to break even | 14%–73% | 29 points betterwon 40%, needs 11% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 11% to break even | 19%–65% | 29 points betterwon 40%, needs 11% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 11% to break even | 22%–61% | 29 points betterwon 40%, needs 11% |
| This season | 3 of 743%needs 11% to break even | 19%–71% | 32 points betterwon 43%, needs 11% |
| Last season | 7 of 1354%needs 11% to break even | 32%–74% | 43 points betterwon 54%, needs 11% |
| Every game | 10 of 2050%needs 11% to break even | 33%–67% | 39 points betterwon 50%, needs 11% |
Tonight CAL plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against SMU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against cal to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | -34 | -34 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAL +6.5 1st quarter spreadCalifornia Golden Bears · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET |
| 5 |
| +5 |
| Won |
| Oct 3 | -8 | -8 | Lost |
| Sep 25 | -14 | -14 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | 42 | +42 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 3 | +3 | Won |
| Sep 5 | -21 | -21 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 24 | -4 | -4 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 3 | +3 | Won |
| Nov 22 | -21 | -21 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | 3 | +3 | Won |
| Nov 1 | -10 | -10 | Lost |
| Oct 24 | -8 | -8 | Lost |
| Oct 17 | 3 | +3 | Won |
| Oct 4 | -24 | -24 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 4 | +4 | Won |
| Sep 20 | -34 | -34 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 13 | +13 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 32 | +32 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 19 | +19 | Won |
| 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 50% to break even |
| 4.5Good |
| CAL +10.5 spreadCalifornia Golden Bears · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +193at Polymarket | 10 of 13· last season77%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | 4.3Good |
| CAL +14.5 spreadCalifornia Golden Bears · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +137at Polymarket | 10 of 13· last season77%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | 4.2Good |
| CAL +10.5 1st half spreadCalifornia Golden Bears · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +103at Polymarket | 12 of 13· last season92%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | 4.1Good |
| Over 20.5 team totalCalifornia Golden Bears · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +126at Polymarket | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | 3.4Good |
| CAL +8.5 1st half spreadCalifornia Golden Bears · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +131at Polymarket | 10 of 13· last season77%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | 3.0Good |
| CAL +11.5 spreadCalifornia Golden Bears · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +177at Polymarket | 10 of 13· last season77%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | 2.8Slight |
| CAL +9.5 1st half spreadCalifornia Golden Bears · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +126at Polymarket | 10 of 13· last season77%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | 2.2Slight |
| CAL +16.5 spreadCalifornia Golden Bears · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +116at Polymarket | 10 of 13· last season77%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | 1.0Slight |
| CAL +13.5 spreadCalifornia Golden Bears · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +155at Polymarket | 10 of 13· last season77%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | 0.3Slight |
| CAL +11.5 1st half spreadCalifornia Golden Bears · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | -119at Polymarket | 12 of 13· last season92%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | 0.0Slight |
| CAL +13.5 1st half spreadCalifornia Golden Bears · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | -134at Polymarket | 13 of 13· last season100%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -0.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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