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NCAAFGame lineSpread
CAL +11.5 (spread)
Won10 of 13last season · 77%
Best price+177Polymarket
Price needs36.1%wins to break even
Every game14 of 20this season and last
Trend score2.8Slight
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 36% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 36% to break even | 27%–86% | 24 points betterwon 60%, needs 36% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 36% to break even | 35%–81% | 24 points betterwon 60%, needs 36% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 36% to break even | 46%–83% | 31 points betterwon 67%, needs 36% |
| This season | 4 of 757%needs 36% to break even | 29%–81% | 21 points betterwon 57%, needs 36% |
| Last season | 10 of 1377%needs 36% to break even | 54%–90% | 41 points betterwon 77%, needs 36% |
| Every game | 14 of 2070%needs 36% to break even | 52%–84% | 34 points betterwon 70%, needs 36% |
Games like tonight
Tonight CAL plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against SMU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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CAL +11.5 (spread)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Margin in each game against cal +11.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat -11.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 |  WAKE | -34 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Oct 10 |  VT | 5 | +16.5 | Won |
| Oct 3 |  UNLV | -8 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 25 |  CLEM | -14 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 |  WAG | 42 | +53.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 |  SYR | 3 | +14.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 |  UCLA | -21 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 24 |  HAW | -4 | +7.5 | Won |
| Nov 29 |  SMU | 3 | +14.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 |  STAN | -21 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 |  LOU | 3 | +14.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 |  UVA | -10 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 24 | VT | -8 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 17 |  UNC | 3 | +14.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 |  DUKE | -24 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 |  BC | 4 | +15.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 |  SDSU | -34 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 |  MINN | 13 | +24.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 |  TXSO | 32 | +43.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 |  ORST | 19 | +30.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on California Golden Bears in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.