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NCAAFGame line3rd quarter spread
CAL 3Q +3.5 (3rd quarter spread)
Won11 of 13last season · 85%
Best price-114Polymarket
Price needs53.3%wins to break even
Every game16 of 20this season and last
Trend score-2.2Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 53% to break even | 27%–86% | 7 points betterwon 60%, needs 53% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 53% to break even | 54%–93% | 27 points betterwon 80%, needs 53% |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 53% to break even | 59%–92% | 27 points betterwon 80%, needs 53% |
| This season | 5 of 771%needs 53% to break even | 41%–90% | 18 points betterwon 71%, needs 53% |
| Last season | 11 of 1385%needs 53% to break even | 63%–95% | 31 points betterwon 85%, needs 53% |
| Every game | 16 of 2080%needs 53% to break even | 62%–91% | 27 points betterwon 80%, needs 53% |
Games like tonight
Tonight CAL plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against SMU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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CAL 3Q +3.5 (3rd quarter spread)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
3Q margin in each game against cal 3q +3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 3Q margin | Beat -3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 |  WAKE | -7 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Oct 10 |  VT | 3 | +6.5 | Won |
| Oct 3 |  UNLV | 11 | +14.5 | Won |
| Sep 25 |  CLEM | -4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 |  WAG | 7 | +10.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 |  SYR | 1 | +4.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 |  UCLA | 7 | +10.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 24 |  HAW | -3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 29 |  SMU | 0 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 |  STAN | -3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 |  LOU | -1 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 |  UVA | 0 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 24 | VT | -10 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Oct 17 |  UNC | 7 | +10.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 |  DUKE | 0 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 |  BC | 0 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 |  SDSU | -14 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 |  MINN | 0 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 |  TXSO | 14 | +17.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 |  ORST | 1 | +4.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on California Golden Bears in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.