This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 36% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 36% to break even | 0%–35% | 36 points shortwon 0%, needs 36% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1010%needs 36% to break even | 2%–35% | 26 points shortwon 10%, needs 36% |
| Last 15 games | 1 of 157%needs 36% to break even | 2%–25% | 29 points shortwon 7%, needs 36% |
| This season | 1 of 714%needs 36% to break even | 3%–45% | 21 points shortwon 14%, needs 36% |
| Last season | 0 of 120%needs 36% to break even | 0%–18% | 36 points shortwon 0%, needs 36% |
| Every game | 1 of 195%needs 36% to break even | 1%–20% | 30 points shortwon 5%, needs 36% |
Tonight BALL plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against SAC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1H margin in each game against ball 1h -13.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1H margin | Beat 13.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 0 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | -17 | -30.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | -5 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | -17 | -30.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | -16 | -29.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 18 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | -25 | -38.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | -21 | -34.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | -21 | -34.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | -14 | -27.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 7 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 0 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | -1 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | -21 | -34.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | -14 | -27.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | -3 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 7 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | -21 | -34.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | -21 | -34.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.