This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 51% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 51% to break even | 44%–95% | 29 points betterwon 80%, needs 51% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 51% to break even | 44%–87% | 19 points betterwon 70%, needs 51% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 51% to break even | 33%–72% | 3 points betterwon 53%, needs 51% |
| This season | 6 of 786%needs 51% to break even | 55%–97% | 35 points betterwon 86%, needs 51% |
| Last season | 4 of 1233%needs 51% to break even | 16%–57% | 17 points shortwon 33%, needs 51% |
| Every game | 10 of 1953%needs 51% to break even | 35%–70% | 2 points betterwon 53%, needs 51% |
Tonight BALL plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against SAC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against over 51.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 51.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 63 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 44.5 game total, BALL gamesBall State Cardinals · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 27.5 team totalBall State Cardinals · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET |
| 59 |
| +7.5 |
| Won |
| Oct 3 | 63 | +11.5 | Won |
| Sep 26 | 39 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | 66 | +14.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 58 | +6.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 59 | +7.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | 69 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 47 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | 33 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Nov 5 | 30 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | 28 | -23.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | 70 | +18.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | 42 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | 34 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 56 | +4.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 63 | +11.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 45 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 | 31 | -20.5 | Lost |
| 6 of 12· last season50%needs 36% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -16.8Not beating its price |
| Under 47.5 game total, BALL gamesBall State Cardinals · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 8 of 12· last season67%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.6Not beating its price |
| Under 48.5 game total, BALL gamesBall State Cardinals · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 8 of 12· last season67%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.2Not beating its price |
| Under 49.5 game total, BALL gamesBall State Cardinals · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 8 of 12· last season67%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.9Not beating its price |
| Under 50.5 game total, BALL gamesBall State Cardinals · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 8 of 12· last season67%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.2Not beating its price |
| Under 51 game total, BALL gamesBall State Cardinals · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | PX-103at ProphetX | 8 of 12· last season67%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.2Not beating its price |
| Under 51.5 game total, BALL gamesBall State Cardinals · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 8 of 12· last season67%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.5Not beating its price |
| Under 52.5 game total, BALL gamesBall State Cardinals · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 8 of 12· last season67%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -28.9Not beating its price |
| Under 53.5 game total, BALL gamesBall State Cardinals · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 8 of 12· last season67%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.5Not beating its price |
| Under 56.5 game total, BALL gamesBall State Cardinals · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | -199at Kalshi | 9 of 12· last season75%needs 67% to break even | Record is last season's | -35.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 10 of 12· last season83%needs 35% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| 14.1Strong |
| Under 30.5 team totalBall State Cardinals · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 10 of 12· last season83%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | 6.9Good |
| Under 34.5 team totalBall State Cardinals · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 11 of 12· last season92%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | 4.6Good |
| Under 31.5 team totalBall State Cardinals · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 10 of 12· last season83%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | 1.3Slight |
| Under 37.5 team totalBall State Cardinals · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | -199at Kalshi | 11 of 12· last season92%needs 67% to break even | Record is last season's | -1.6Not beating its price |
| Under 26.5 1st half totalBall State Cardinals · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 8 of 12· last season67%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.0Not beating its price |
| Under 23.5 1st half totalBall State Cardinals · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 8 of 12· last season67%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.6Not beating its price |
| Under 27.5 1st half totalBall State Cardinals · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 9 of 12· last season75%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.7Not beating its price |
| Over 30.5 1st half totalBall State Cardinals · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 3 of 10· last 10 games30%needs 38% to break even | -23.2Not beating its price |
| Over 27.5 1st half totalBall State Cardinals · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 47% to break even | -24.5Not beating its price |
| Over 23.5 1st half totalBall State Cardinals · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 63% to break even | -24.5Not beating its price |
| Over 26.5 1st half totalBall State Cardinals · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 52% to break even | -25.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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