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NCAAFGame lineTeam total
Under 30.5 (team total)
Won10 of 12last season · 83%
Best price+129Kalshi
Price needs43.7%wins to break even
Every game15 of 19this season and last
Trend score6.9Good
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 44% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 44% to break even | 44%–95% | 36 points betterwon 80%, needs 44% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 44% to break even | 54%–93% | 36 points betterwon 80%, needs 44% |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 44% to break even | 59%–92% | 36 points betterwon 80%, needs 44% |
| This season | 5 of 771%needs 44% to break even | 41%–90% | 28 points betterwon 71%, needs 44% |
| Last season | 10 of 1283%needs 44% to break even | 60%–94% | 40 points betterwon 83%, needs 44% |
| Every game | 15 of 1979%needs 44% to break even | 60%–90% | 35 points betterwon 79%, needs 44% |
Games like tonight
Tonight BALL plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against SAC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Under 30.5 (team total)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
BALL points in each game against under 30.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | BALL points | Beat 30.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 |  BGSU | 32 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 10 |  NU | 14 | +16.5 | Won |
| Oct 3 |  TOL | 24 | +6.5 | Won |
| Sep 26 |  KENT | 13 | +17.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 |  LIB | 15 | +15.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 |  STBK | 41 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 |  OSU | 3 | +27.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 |  M-OH | 24 | +6.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 | TOL | 9 | +21.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 |  EMU | 9 | +21.5 | Won |
| Nov 5 | KENT | 17 | +13.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 |  NIU | 7 | +23.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 |  AKR | 42 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 |  WMU | 0 | +30.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 |  OHIO | 20 | +10.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 |  CONN | 25 | +5.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 |  UNH | 34 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 |  AUB | 3 | +27.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 |  PUR | 0 | +30.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 30.5 team totalBall State Cardinals · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET |  -154at Kalshi | 2 of 7· this season29%needs 61% to break even | Record is this season's | -42.4Not beating its price | |
| Over 31.5 team totalBall State Cardinals · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 2 of 7· this season29%needs 56% to break even | Record is this season's | -38.5Not beating its price | |
| Over 34.5 team totalBall State Cardinals · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 2 of 15· last 15 games13%needs 46% to break even | -34.2Not beating its price | ||
| Over 37.5 team totalBall State Cardinals · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 2 of 15· last 15 games13%needs 38% to break even | -27.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Ball State Cardinals in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.