This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 51% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 51% to break even | 44%–95% | 29 points betterwon 80%, needs 51% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 51% to break even | 54%–93% | 29 points betterwon 80%, needs 51% |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 51% to break even | 59%–92% | 29 points betterwon 80%, needs 51% |
| This season | 5 of 771%needs 51% to break even | 41%–90% | 21 points betterwon 71%, needs 51% |
| Last season | 10 of 1283%needs 51% to break even | 60%–94% | 33 points betterwon 83%, needs 51% |
| Every game | 15 of 1979%needs 51% to break even | 60%–90% | 28 points betterwon 79%, needs 51% |
Tonight BALL plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against SAC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
BALL points in each game against under 31.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | BALL points | Beat 31.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 32 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 30.5 team totalBall State Cardinals · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 56.5 game total, BALL gamesBall State Cardinals · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET |
| 14 |
| +17.5 |
| Won |
| Oct 3 | 24 | +7.5 | Won |
| Sep 26 | 13 | +18.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 | 15 | +16.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 41 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 | 3 | +28.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | 24 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 9 | +22.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 9 | +22.5 | Won |
| Nov 5 | 17 | +14.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | 7 | +24.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 | 42 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | 0 | +31.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 | 20 | +11.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 25 | +6.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 34 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | 3 | +28.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 0 | +31.5 | Won |
| 2 of 7· this season29%needs 61% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -42.4Not beating its price |
| Over 31.5 team totalBall State Cardinals · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 2 of 7· this season29%needs 55% to break even | Record is this season's | -37.7Not beating its price |
| Over 34.5 team totalBall State Cardinals · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 2 of 15· last 15 games13%needs 46% to break even | -34.2Not beating its price |
| Over 37.5 team totalBall State Cardinals · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 2 of 15· last 15 games13%needs 38% to break even | -27.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 6 of 7· this season86%needs 39% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -2.4Not beating its price |
| Over 53.5 game total, BALL gamesBall State Cardinals · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 46% to break even | Record is this season's | -6.9Not beating its price |
| Over 52.5 game total, BALL gamesBall State Cardinals · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 48% to break even | Record is this season's | -8.6Not beating its price |
| Over 51.5 game total, BALL gamesBall State Cardinals · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 51% to break even | Record is this season's | -10.9Not beating its price |
| Over 51 game total, BALL gamesBall State Cardinals · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | LVG-108at LowVig | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 52% to break even | Record is this season's | -11.8Not beating its price |
| Over 50.5 game total, BALL gamesBall State Cardinals · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 55% to break even | Record is this season's | -14.1Not beating its price |
| Under 26.5 1st half totalBall State Cardinals · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 8 of 12· last season67%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.0Not beating its price |
| Over 49.5 game total, BALL gamesBall State Cardinals · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 57% to break even | Record is this season's | -15.6Not beating its price |
| Under 23.5 1st half totalBall State Cardinals · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 8 of 12· last season67%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.6Not beating its price |
| Under 27.5 1st half totalBall State Cardinals · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 9 of 12· last season75%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.7Not beating its price |
| Under 44.5 game total, BALL gamesBall State Cardinals · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 6 of 12· last season50%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.8Not beating its price |
| Over 48.5 game total, BALL gamesBall State Cardinals · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 59% to break even | Record is this season's | -17.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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