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NCAAFGame line1st quarter total
Under 7.5 (1st quarter total)
Won9 of 15last 15 games · 60%
Best price-103Kalshi
Price needs50.7%wins to break even
Every game11 of 21this season and last
Trend score-15.4Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 51% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 51% to break even | 27%–86% | 9 points betterwon 60%, needs 51% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 51% to break even | 35%–81% | 9 points betterwon 60%, needs 51% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 51% to break even | 39%–78% | 9 points betterwon 60%, needs 51% |
| This season | 3 of 743%needs 51% to break even | 19%–71% | 8 points shortwon 43%, needs 51% |
| Last season | 8 of 1457%needs 51% to break even | 36%–76% | 6 points betterwon 57%, needs 51% |
| Every game | 11 of 2152%needs 51% to break even | 35%–69% | 2 points betterwon 52%, needs 51% |
Games like tonight
Tonight UVA plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against DUKE. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Under 7.5 (1st quarter total)2 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
1Q total points in each game against under 7.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1Q total points | Beat 7.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 |  SMU | 3 | +4.5 | Won |
| Oct 10 |  SYR | 14 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Oct 3 |  FSU | 7 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 26 |  DEL | 7 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 |  WVU | 21 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Sep 11 |  NORF | 21 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Aug 29 |  NCSU | 10 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 27 |  MIZ | 7 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 6 |  DUKE | 7 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 29 |  VT | 7 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | DUKE | 7 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 |  WAKE | 3 | +4.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 |  CAL | 10 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 |  UNC | 3 | +4.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 |  WSU | 14 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 |  LOU | 14 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 | FSU | 7 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 |  STAN | 28 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 |  W&M | 14 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | NCSU | 21 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 |  CCU | 7 | +0.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 7.5 1st quarter totalVirginia Cavaliers · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET |  -129at Polymarket | 4 of 7· this season57%needs 56% to break even | Record is this season's | -27.5Not beating its price | |
| Over 10.5 1st quarter totalVirginia Cavaliers · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET |  +146at Kalshi | 3 of 7· this season43%needs 41% to break even | Record is this season's | -20.3Not beating its price | |
| Over 12.5 1st quarter totalVirginia Cavaliers · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 3 of 7· this season43%needs 40% to break even | Record is this season's | -19.5Not beating its price | |
| Over 13.5 1st quarter totalVirginia Cavaliers · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 3 of 7· this season43%needs 37% to break even | Record is this season's | -17.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Virginia Cavaliers in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.