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NCAAFGame line1st quarter total
Over 10.5 (1st quarter total)
Won3 of 7this season · 43%
Best price+152Kalshi
Price needs39.7%wins to break even
Every game8 of 21this season and last
Trend score-19.5Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 40% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 40% to break even | 14%–73% | evenwon 40%, needs 40% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 40% to break even | 13%–56% | 10 points shortwon 30%, needs 40% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 40% to break even | 13%–48% | 13 points shortwon 27%, needs 40% |
| This season | 3 of 743%needs 40% to break even | 19%–71% | 3 points betterwon 43%, needs 40% |
| Last season | 5 of 1436%needs 40% to break even | 19%–57% | 4 points shortwon 36%, needs 40% |
| Every game | 8 of 2138%needs 40% to break even | 23%–56% | 2 points shortwon 38%, needs 40% |
Games like tonight
Tonight UVA plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against DUKE. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Over 10.5 (1st quarter total)2 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
1Q total points in each game against over 10.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1Q total points | Beat 10.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 |  SMU | 3 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Oct 10 |  SYR | 14 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 3 |  FSU | 7 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 |  DEL | 7 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 |  WVU | 21 | +10.5 | Won |
| Sep 11 |  NORF | 21 | +10.5 | Won |
| Aug 29 |  NCSU | 10 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 27 |  MIZ | 7 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Dec 6 |  DUKE | 7 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 29 |  VT | 7 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | DUKE | 7 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 |  WAKE | 3 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 |  CAL | 10 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 |  UNC | 3 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 |  WSU | 14 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 |  LOU | 14 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 26 | FSU | 7 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 |  STAN | 28 | +17.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 |  W&M | 14 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | NCSU | 21 | +10.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 |  CCU | 7 | -3.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 7.5 1st quarter totalVirginia Cavaliers · Today 7:00 PM ET |  +105at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 49% to break even | -13.8Not beating its price | ||
| Under 10.5 1st quarter totalVirginia Cavaliers · Today 7:00 PM ET | -183at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 65% to break even | -20.1Not beating its price | ||
| Under 12.5 1st quarter totalVirginia Cavaliers · Today 7:00 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 66% to break even | -20.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Virginia Cavaliers in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.