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NCAAFGame line1st quarter spread
UVA 1Q -3.5 (1st quarter spread)
Won5 of 7this season · 71%
Best price+198Kalshi
Price needs33.6%wins to break even
Every game13 of 21this season and last
Trend score1.1Slight
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 34% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 34% to break even | 27%–86% | 26 points betterwon 60%, needs 34% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 34% to break even | 35%–81% | 26 points betterwon 60%, needs 34% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 34% to break even | 33%–72% | 20 points betterwon 53%, needs 34% |
| This season | 5 of 771%needs 34% to break even | 41%–90% | 38 points betterwon 71%, needs 34% |
| Last season | 8 of 1457%needs 34% to break even | 36%–76% | 24 points betterwon 57%, needs 34% |
| Every game | 13 of 2162%needs 34% to break even | 44%–77% | 28 points betterwon 62%, needs 34% |
Games like tonight
Tonight UVA plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against DUKE. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
UVA 1Q -3.5 (1st quarter spread)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
1Q margin in each game against uva 1q -3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1Q margin | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 |  SMU | -3 | -6.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
More on Virginia Cavaliers in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA -7.5 spreadVirginia Cavaliers · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET |
