This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 43% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 43% to break even | 27%–86% | 17 points betterwon 60%, needs 43% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 43% to break even | 35%–81% | 17 points betterwon 60%, needs 43% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 43% to break even | 33%–72% | 11 points betterwon 53%, needs 43% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 43% to break even | 35%–88% | 24 points betterwon 67%, needs 43% |
| Last season | 7 of 1450%needs 43% to break even | 30%–70% | 7 points betterwon 50%, needs 43% |
| Every game | 11 of 2055%needs 43% to break even | 37%–72% | 12 points betterwon 55%, needs 43% |
Tonight BOIS plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against WSU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against over 57.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 57.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 10 | 69 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 45.5 game total, BOIS gamesBoise State Broncos · Sat, Oct 24, 6:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 37.5 team totalBoise State Broncos · Sat, Oct 24, 6:00 PM ET |
| 55 |
| -2.5 |
| Lost |
| Sep 26 | 39 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | 62 | +4.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 58 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 61 | +3.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 13 | 48 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 59 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 28 | 49 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | 70 | +12.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 24 | -33.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | 37 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Oct 24 | 27 | -30.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | 87 | +29.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | 66 | +8.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 | 35 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 61 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | AFA | 86 | +28.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 65 | +7.5 | Won |
| Aug 28 | 41 | -16.5 | Lost |
| 5 of 14· last season36%needs 35% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -20.4Not beating its price |
| Under 48.5 game total, BOIS gamesBoise State Broncos · Sat, Oct 24, 6:00 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 6 of 14· last season43%needs 41% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.7Not beating its price |
| Under 49.5 game total, BOIS gamesBoise State Broncos · Sat, Oct 24, 6:00 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 7 of 14· last season50%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.5Not beating its price |
| Under 50.5 game total, BOIS gamesBoise State Broncos · Sat, Oct 24, 6:00 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 7 of 14· last season50%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.8Not beating its price |
| Under 51.5 game total, BOIS gamesBoise State Broncos · Sat, Oct 24, 6:00 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 7 of 14· last season50%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.6Not beating its price |
| Under 52.5 game total, BOIS gamesBoise State Broncos · Sat, Oct 24, 6:00 PM ET | NV-102at Novig | 7 of 14· last season50%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.7Not beating its price |
| Under 53.5 game total, BOIS gamesBoise State Broncos · Sat, Oct 24, 6:00 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 7 of 14· last season50%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.2Not beating its price |
| Under 54.5 game total, BOIS gamesBoise State Broncos · Sat, Oct 24, 6:00 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 7 of 14· last season50%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -31.9Not beating its price |
| Under 57.5 game total, BOIS gamesBoise State Broncos · Sat, Oct 24, 6:00 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 7 of 14· last season50%needs 64% to break even | Record is last season's | -33.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 7 of 14· last season50%needs 39% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -9.4Not beating its price |
| Over 31.5 team totalBoise State Broncos · Sat, Oct 24, 6:00 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 56% to break even | -9.5Not beating its price |
| Over 34.5 team totalBoise State Broncos · Sat, Oct 24, 6:00 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 48% to break even | -10.6Not beating its price |
| BOIS -13 spreadBoise State Broncos · Sat, Oct 24, 6:00 PM ET | LVG-106at LowVig | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 51% to break even | -12.5Not beating its price |
| BOIS -13.5 spreadBoise State Broncos · Sat, Oct 24, 6:00 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 52% to break even | -12.7Not beating its price |
| Over 30.5 team totalBoise State Broncos · Sat, Oct 24, 6:00 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 62% to break even | -14.3Not beating its price |
| BOIS -17.5 spreadBoise State Broncos · Sat, Oct 24, 6:00 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 41% to break even | -15.3Not beating its price |
| BOIS -16.5 spreadBoise State Broncos · Sat, Oct 24, 6:00 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 45% to break even | -15.4Not beating its price |
| BOIS -11.5 spreadBoise State Broncos · Sat, Oct 24, 6:00 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 57% to break even | -15.5Not beating its price |
| BOIS -14.5 spreadBoise State Broncos · Sat, Oct 24, 6:00 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 48% to break even | -15.9Not beating its price |
| BOIS -10.5 spreadBoise State Broncos · Sat, Oct 24, 6:00 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 59% to break even | -17.1Not beating its price |
| BOIS -6.5 1st quarter spreadBoise State Broncos · Sat, Oct 24, 6:00 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 7 of 14· last season50%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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