This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 41% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 41% to break even | 27%–86% | 19 points betterwon 60%, needs 41% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 41% to break even | 19%–65% | 1 points shortwon 40%, needs 41% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 41% to break even | 22%–61% | 1 points shortwon 40%, needs 41% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 41% to break even | 22%–78% | 9 points betterwon 50%, needs 41% |
| Last season | 5 of 1436%needs 41% to break even | 19%–57% | 5 points shortwon 36%, needs 41% |
| Every game | 8 of 2040%needs 41% to break even | 24%–58% | 1 points shortwon 40%, needs 41% |
Tonight BOIS plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against WSU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against bois -17.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 17.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 10 | 7 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | 19 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | 25 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 14 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 18 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | -7 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 13 | -28 | -45.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 17 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 1 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 28 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | -10 | -27.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | -23 | -40.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 21 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 25 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 16 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | -21 | -38.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 33 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | AFA | 12 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 | 37 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Aug 28 | -27 | -44.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.