This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 52% to break even | 44%–95% | 28 points betterwon 80%, needs 52% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 52% to break even | 35%–81% | 8 points betterwon 60%, needs 52% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 52% to break even | 39%–78% | 8 points betterwon 60%, needs 52% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 52% to break even | 35%–88% | 15 points betterwon 67%, needs 52% |
| Last season | 7 of 1450%needs 52% to break even | 30%–70% | 2 points shortwon 50%, needs 52% |
| Every game | 11 of 2055%needs 52% to break even | 37%–72% | 3 points betterwon 55%, needs 52% |
Tonight BOIS plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against WSU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against bois -13.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 13.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 10 | 7 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | 19 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | 25 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 14 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 18 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | -7 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 13 | -28 | -41.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 17 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 1 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 28 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | -10 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | -23 | -36.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 21 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 25 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 16 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | -21 | -34.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 33 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | AFA | 12 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 | 37 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Aug 28 | -27 | -40.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.