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NCAAFGame lineSpread
BOIS -16.5 (spread)
Won7 of 15last 15 games · 47%
Best price+124Kalshi
Price needs44.6%wins to break even
Every game9 of 20this season and last
Trend score-15.4Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 45% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 45% to break even | 27%–86% | 15 points betterwon 60%, needs 45% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 45% to break even | 27%–73% | 5 points betterwon 50%, needs 45% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 45% to break even | 28%–67% | 2 points betterwon 47%, needs 45% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 45% to break even | 22%–78% | 5 points betterwon 50%, needs 45% |
| Last season | 6 of 1443%needs 45% to break even | 24%–64% | 2 points shortwon 43%, needs 45% |
| Every game | 9 of 2045%needs 45% to break even | 28%–63% | evenwon 45%, needs 45% |
Games like tonight
Tonight BOIS plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against WSU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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BOIS -16.5 (spread)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Margin in each game against bois -16.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 16.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 10 |  FRES | 7 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Oct 3 |  USU | 19 | +2.5 | Won |
| Sep 26 |  WMU | 25 | +8.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 |  SDAK | 14 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 |  MEM | 18 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 |  ORE | -7 | -23.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 13 |  WASH | -28 | -44.5 | Lost |
| Dec 5 |  UNLV | 17 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 28 | USU | 1 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 |  CSU | 28 | +11.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 |  SDSU | -10 | -26.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | FRES | -23 | -39.5 | Lost |
| Oct 24 |  NEV | 21 | +4.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 | UNLV | 25 | +8.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 |  UNM | 16 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 |  ND | -21 | -37.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 |  APP | 33 | +16.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | AFA | 12 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 |  EWU | 37 | +20.5 | Won |
| Aug 28 |  USF | -27 | -43.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on Boise State Broncos in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.