This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 62% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 62% to break even | 27%–86% | 2 points shortwon 60%, needs 62% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 62% to break even | 19%–65% | 22 points shortwon 40%, needs 62% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 62% to break even | 17%–54% | 28 points shortwon 33%, needs 62% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 62% to break even | 22%–78% | 12 points shortwon 50%, needs 62% |
| Last season | 4 of 1331%needs 62% to break even | 15%–54% | 31 points shortwon 31%, needs 62% |
| Every game | 7 of 1937%needs 62% to break even | 21%–56% | 25 points shortwon 37%, needs 62% |
Tonight UTAH plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against HOU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
UTAH points in each game against under 34.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | UTAH points | Beat 34.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 27 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 27.5 team totalUtah Utes · Tomorrow 10:15 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTAH -13.5 spreadUtah Utes · Tomorrow 10:15 PM ET |
| 41 |
| -6.5 |
| Lost |
| Sep 26 | 31 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 | 33 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 43 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Sep 3 | 66 | -31.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 31 | 44 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 31 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 | 51 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | 55 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | 45 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | 53 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | 21 | +13.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | 42 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 48 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 10 | +24.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 31 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 63 | -28.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 | 43 | -8.5 | Lost |
| 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 67% to break even |
| -6.4Not beating its price |
| Over 30.5 team totalUtah Utes · Tomorrow 10:15 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 58% to break even | 0.5Slight |
| Over 31.5 team totalUtah Utes · Tomorrow 10:15 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 53% to break even | -8.7Not beating its price |
| Over 34.5 team totalUtah Utes · Tomorrow 10:15 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -6.7Not beating its price |
| Over 37.5 team totalUtah Utes · Tomorrow 10:15 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | 0.6Slight |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 35% to break even |
| 9.7Strong |
| UTAH -9.5 spreadUtah Utes · Tomorrow 10:15 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 44% to break even | 7.1Good |
| UTAH -11.5 spreadUtah Utes · Tomorrow 10:15 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 39% to break even | 6.9Good |
| UTAH -8.5 spreadUtah Utes · Tomorrow 10:15 PM ET | +126at Polymarket | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 44% to break even | 6.7Good |
| UTAH -9.5 1st half spreadUtah Utes · Tomorrow 10:15 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 38% to break even | 6.3Good |
| UTAH -10.5 spreadUtah Utes · Tomorrow 10:15 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 41% to break even | 5.3Good |
| UTAH -7.5 spreadUtah Utes · Tomorrow 10:15 PM ET | +116at Polymarket | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 46% to break even | 5.0Good |
| UTAH -3.5 1st quarter spreadUtah Utes · Tomorrow 10:15 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 46% to break even | Record is this season's | 4.1Good |
| UTAH -0.5 1st quarter spreadUtah Utes · Tomorrow 10:15 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 53% to break even | Record is this season's | 3.9Good |
| UTAH -2.5 1st quarter spreadUtah Utes · Tomorrow 10:15 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 53% to break even | Record is this season's | 3.9Good |
| UTAH -7.5 1st half spreadUtah Utes · Tomorrow 10:15 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 41% to break even | 3.9Good |
| UTAH -2.5 1st half spreadUtah Utes · Tomorrow 10:15 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 62% to break even | Record is this season's | 1.4Slight |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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