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Won11 of 15last 15 games · 73%
Best price+159Kalshi
Price needs38.6%wins to break even
Every game14 of 19this season and last
Trend score6.9Good
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 39% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 39% to break even | 44%–95% | 41 points betterwon 80%, needs 39% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 39% to break even | 44%–87% | 31 points betterwon 70%, needs 39% |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 39% to break even | 52%–87% | 35 points betterwon 73%, needs 39% |
| This season | 5 of 683%needs 39% to break even | 50%–96% | 45 points betterwon 83%, needs 39% |
| Last season | 9 of 1369%needs 39% to break even | 46%–85% | 31 points betterwon 69%, needs 39% |
| Every game | 14 of 1974%needs 39% to break even | 55%–87% | 35 points betterwon 74%, needs 39% |
Games like tonight
Tonight UTAH plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against HOU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
UTAH -11.5 (spread)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Margin in each game against utah -11.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 11.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 |  COLO | 3 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Oct 10 |  KU | 17 | +5.5 | Won |
| Sep 26 |  ISU | 14 | +2.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 |  USU | 33 | +21.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 |  ARK | 33 | +21.5 | Won |
| Sep 3 |  IDHO | 52 | +40.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 31 |  NEB | 22 | +10.5 | Won |
| Nov 28 | KU | 10 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 |  KSU | 4 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 |  BAY | 27 | +15.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 |  CIN | 31 | +19.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | COLO | 46 | +34.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 |  BYU | -3 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 |  ASU | 32 | +20.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 |  WVU | 34 | +22.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 |  TTU | -24 | -35.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 |  WYO | 25 | +13.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 |  CP | 54 | +42.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 |  UCLA | 33 | +21.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on Utah Utes in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.