This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 36% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 36% to break even | 44%–95% | 44 points betterwon 80%, needs 36% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 36% to break even | 44%–87% | 34 points betterwon 70%, needs 36% |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 36% to break even | 52%–87% | 38 points betterwon 73%, needs 36% |
| This season | 5 of 683%needs 36% to break even | 50%–96% | 48 points betterwon 83%, needs 36% |
| Last season | 9 of 1369%needs 36% to break even | 46%–85% | 34 points betterwon 69%, needs 36% |
| Every game | 14 of 1974%needs 36% to break even | 55%–87% | 38 points betterwon 74%, needs 36% |
Tonight UTAH plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against HOU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against utah -13.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 13.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 3 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTAH -9.5 1st half spreadUtah Utes · Sat, Oct 24, 10:15 PM ET |
| 17 |
| +3.5 |
| Won |
| Sep 26 | 14 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 | 33 | +19.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 33 | +19.5 | Won |
| Sep 3 | 52 | +38.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 31 | 22 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 10 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | 4 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | 27 | +13.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | 31 | +17.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | 46 | +32.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 | -3 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | 32 | +18.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 34 | +20.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | -24 | -37.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 25 | +11.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 54 | +40.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 33 | +19.5 | Won |
| 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 38% to break even |
| 6.3Good |
| UTAH -2.5 1st quarter spreadUtah Utes · Sat, Oct 24, 10:15 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 52% to break even | Record is this season's | 4.8Good |
| UTAH -3.5 1st quarter spreadUtah Utes · Sat, Oct 24, 10:15 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 46% to break even | Record is this season's | 4.1Good |
| UTAH -0.5 1st quarter spreadUtah Utes · Sat, Oct 24, 10:15 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 53% to break even | Record is this season's | 3.9Good |
| UTAH -7.5 1st half spreadUtah Utes · Sat, Oct 24, 10:15 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 41% to break even | 3.9Good |
| UTAH -2.5 1st half spreadUtah Utes · Sat, Oct 24, 10:15 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 62% to break even | Record is this season's | 1.4Slight |
| UTAH -3.5 1st half spreadUtah Utes · Sat, Oct 24, 10:15 PM ET | -119at Polymarket | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 54% to break even | Record is this season's | 1.3Slight |
| UTAH to win moneylineUtah Utes · Sat, Oct 24, 10:15 PM ET | NV-217at Novig | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 68% to break even | 1.1Slight |
| Over 37.5 team totalUtah Utes · Sat, Oct 24, 10:15 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | 0.6Slight |
| UTAH -0.5 1st half spreadUtah Utes · Sat, Oct 24, 10:15 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 63% to break even | Record is this season's | 0.6Slight |
| Over 30.5 team totalUtah Utes · Sat, Oct 24, 10:15 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 58% to break even | 0.5Slight |
| UTAH -4.5 1st half spreadUtah Utes · Sat, Oct 24, 10:15 PM ET | +103at Polymarket | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 49% to break even | -2.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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