This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 53% to break even | 65%–100% | 47 points betterwon 100%, needs 53% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 53% to break even | 54%–93% | 27 points betterwon 80%, needs 53% |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 53% to break even | 59%–92% | 27 points betterwon 80%, needs 53% |
| This season | 6 of 6100%needs 53% to break even | 69%–100% | 47 points betterwon 100%, needs 53% |
| Last season | 9 of 1369%needs 53% to break even | 46%–85% | 16 points betterwon 69%, needs 53% |
| Every game | 15 of 1979%needs 53% to break even | 60%–90% | 26 points betterwon 79%, needs 53% |
Tonight UTAH plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against HOU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1Q margin in each game against utah 1q -0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTAH -13.5 spreadUtah Utes · Sat, Oct 24, 10:15 PM ET |
| Won |
| Sep 26 | 14 | +13.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 | 16 | +15.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 4 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 3 | 17 | +16.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 31 | -7 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | 14 | +13.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | 7 | +6.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | 17 | +16.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | 4 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 14 | +13.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | -7 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 11 | +10.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 13 | +12.5 | Won |
| 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 36% to break even |
| 9.3Strong |
| UTAH -9.5 spreadUtah Utes · Sat, Oct 24, 10:15 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 44% to break even | 7.1Good |
| UTAH -11.5 spreadUtah Utes · Sat, Oct 24, 10:15 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 39% to break even | 6.9Good |
| UTAH -8.5 spreadUtah Utes · Sat, Oct 24, 10:15 PM ET | +126at Polymarket | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 44% to break even | 6.7Good |
| UTAH -9.5 1st half spreadUtah Utes · Sat, Oct 24, 10:15 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 38% to break even | 6.3Good |
| UTAH -10.5 spreadUtah Utes · Sat, Oct 24, 10:15 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 41% to break even | 5.3Good |
| UTAH -7.5 spreadUtah Utes · Sat, Oct 24, 10:15 PM ET | +116at Polymarket | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 46% to break even | 5.0Good |
| UTAH -7.5 1st half spreadUtah Utes · Sat, Oct 24, 10:15 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 41% to break even | 3.9Good |
| UTAH -2.5 1st half spreadUtah Utes · Sat, Oct 24, 10:15 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 62% to break even | Record is this season's | 1.4Slight |
| UTAH -3.5 1st half spreadUtah Utes · Sat, Oct 24, 10:15 PM ET | -119at Polymarket | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 54% to break even | Record is this season's | 1.3Slight |
| UTAH to win moneylineUtah Utes · Sat, Oct 24, 10:15 PM ET | NV-217at Novig | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 68% to break even | 1.1Slight |
| Over 37.5 team totalUtah Utes · Sat, Oct 24, 10:15 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | 0.6Slight |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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